NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	7.6 [353]		MVP	Davis Bertans (SAS): +15.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Comeback	1.4 [841]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -39.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	12	67%	0.21	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	67%	0.10	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Danny Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derrick White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Paul	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	11	21%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dejounte Murray	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.15	0.01	15	49%	-0.03	5	-0.21	5	60%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	22	44%	0.06	7	-0.22	6	33%	-0.04
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.36,-0.4,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.28	-0.17	-0.06	17	21%	-0.21	6	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	0.8	31.1	13.0	35.5	1.8	28.5	136.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +8.6%

SAS -7.9%

OKC +43.3%

OKC +0.1%

OKC +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	14.7	93.5	95.7	107.5
season	15.5	14.2		106.7	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.5		106.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	15.2	12.3	14.6	14.8
OKC	14.8	15.4	15.9	18.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	34	35	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.23	14	-17	31	11.2	16.8	-5.54	17.4	15.2	2.21
Kyle Anderson	44	44	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	15.7	13.9	1.76	15.5	16.5	-1.06
Patty Mills	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	2	-7	15.3	14.6	0.68	17.7	15.7	2.06
Danny Green	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	5	-13	18.4	12.7	5.67	13.6	17.4	-3.80
Pau Gasol	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	6	-15	17.3	13.4	3.86	13.4	17.3	-3.96
Bryn Forbes	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-10	17	13.0	18.3	-5.26	17.6	12.7	4.86
Davis Bertans	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	12.9	17.7	-4.85	17.2	14.3	2.92
Joffrey Lauvergne	44	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	4	-11	14.2	15.3	-1.13	16.4	15.7	0.77
Dejounte Murray	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.6	15.5	-0.93	15.5	18.7	-3.20
Brandon Paul	64	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.33	-12	9	-21	16.6	10.6	6.00	15.6	17.0	-1.46

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	75	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-5	13	15.5	18.1	-2.52	15.1	13.3	1.87
Steven Adams	67	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-10	23	14.5	19.8	-5.29	15.6	12.7	2.94
Carmelo Anthony	61	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	2	-1	14.9	18.2	-3.25	16.0	12.5	3.50
Paul George	63	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	1	1	15.7	16.7	-1.04	15.0	14.1	0.97
Andre Roberson	69	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	15.9	16.5	-0.60	15.5	13.0	2.52
Jerami Grant	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	3	-3	18.1	14.5	3.62	12.9	16.2	-3.25
Alex Abrines	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	15.2	16.5	-1.25	14.2	15.0	-0.89
Raymond Felton	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	3	-3	17.7	15.2	2.54	13.1	15.6	-2.53
Josh Huestis	13	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	7	-11	19.7	15.5	4.24	12.2	15.2	-3.04
Patrick Patterson	19	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	10	-17	20.5	14.9	5.62	12.2	15.3	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.7%
CHA 95, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.3%
SAC 96, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.98,0.9,1	93.0%