WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	81		Excitement	1.4 [210]		MVP	Allisha Gray (ATL): +21.8%
Atlanta Dream	89		Comeback	1.1 [198]		LVP	Courtney Williams (MIN): -7.1%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olivia Miles	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	14	60%	0.12	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Kayla McBride	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	16	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chloe Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liatu King	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	-0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Napheesa Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.01	0.06	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Maya Caldwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.14	-0.04	16	70%	0.23	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	12	59%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	5	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isobel Borlase	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	125%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sika Kone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Te-Hina Paopao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Angel Reese	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.07	9	58%	0.10	5	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	9	39%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	WNBA	MIN	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.2	14.7	15.1	98.8	106.0	109.3
season	14.6	14.9		116.1	110.5
opponent	14.7	15.9		107.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	13.7	12.9	15.8	14.2
ATL	11.8	13.0	17.7	17.6	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	23%	77%	0%	0.0%	62.5%	37.0%	0.0%	0.0%
ATL	27%	73%	0%	0.0%	47.4%	46.2%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Olivia Miles	5	60%	9	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	5	60%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Chloe Bibby	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Liatu King	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	2	50%	13	31%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	2	100%	10	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	16	62%	54	37%	0	0%	0	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	2	50%	14	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	3	67%	9	44%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	1	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	8	50%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Isobel Borlase	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sika Kone	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Te-Hina Paopao	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Reese	2	50%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	2	50%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	19	47%	52	46%	0	0%	0	0%