WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	90		Excitement	3.1 [35]		MVP	Brittney Griner (CON): +47.8%
Minnesota Lynx	89		Comeback	1.5 [81]		LVP	Dorka Juhasz (MIN): -14.0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48	0.37	0.22	0.11	14	74%	0.52	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.04
Kennedy Burke	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.47	0.08	0.37	-0.01	8	94%	0.62	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Leila Lacan	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.07	-0.04	13	46%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlisse Leger-Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.09	0.12	-0.02	8	37%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gianna Kneepkens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Saniya Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Aaliyah Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.13	0.01	0.17	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	8	25%	-0.12
Diamond Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.25	0.08	10	67%	0.41	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Kayla McBride	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.18	-0.01	19	65%	0.42	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Antonia Delaere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	4	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eliska Hamzova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	21	55%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorka Juhasz	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	7	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	MIN	WNBA	CON	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.1	115.4	108.5	108.0
season	14.9	14.5		98.2	113.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	12.5	15.6	15.0	16.4	14.7
MIN	14.2	14.5	15.8	16.9	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	71%	27%	1.5%	0.0%	48.9%	50.0%	100.0%
MIN	4%	65%	31%	0.0%	66.7%	43.5%	40.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	9	78%	5	80%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	4	75%	3	67%	1	100%
Leila Lacan	0	0%	11	45%	2	0%	0	0%
Charlisse Leger-Walker	0	0%	5	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Gianna Kneepkens	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Saniya Rivers	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	4	25%	3	33%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	47	49%	18	50%	1	100%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	1	100%	3	67%	6	50%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	0%	13	54%	5	60%	0	0%
Antonia Delaere	0	0%	2	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Eliska Hamzova	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	1	100%	16	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	4	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Dorka Juhasz	0	0%	4	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Lynx	3	67%	46	43%	22	41%	0	0%