WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Toronto Tempo	85		Excitement	29.2 [1]		MVP	Sonia Citron (WAS): +80.1%
Washington Mystics	86		Comeback	9.3 [9]		LVP	Maria Conde (TOR): -17.0%

Toronto Tempo
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0.33	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.33	0.03	0.34	0.03	14	59%	0.47	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.26	0.12	0.19	0.06	15	79%	0.35	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Isabelle Harrison	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Teonni Key	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laura Juskaite	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Julie Allemand	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tima Pouye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Temi Fagbenle	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Maria Conde	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	0.08	7	44%	-0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sonia Citron	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.8	0.80	0.00	0.82	0.02	16	46%	0.84	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.07	-0.04	15	53%	0.16	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.03
Angela Dugalic	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Cotie McMahon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lauren Betts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.15	-0.06	0.09	9	90%	0.13	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Cassandre Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georgia Amoore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Alicia Florez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shakira Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	0.04	6	63%	0.05	9	-0.20	7	86%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	WNBA	TOR	WAS	WNBA
this game	12.8	15.4	15.1	101.2	100.0	106.8
season	14.6	15.2		110.4	99.8
opponent	14.7	15.4		107.6	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.4	11.0	16.5	10.6	12.8
WAS	17.0	15.1	12.1	17.4	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
TOR	23%	70%	5%	1.6%	60.0%	44.4%	33.3%	100.0%
WAS	22%	72%	3%	3.1%	57.1%	46.8%	0.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Toronto Tempo
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	12	50%	1	0%	1	100%
Marina Mabrey	3	67%	10	60%	2	50%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	3	33%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Teonni Key	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Laura Juskaite	1	100%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Julie Allemand	3	67%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tima Pouye	2	50%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Maria Conde	3	67%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tempo	15	60%	45	44%	3	33%	1	100%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sonia Citron	4	25%	9	44%	1	0%	2	50%
Michaela Onyenwere	3	33%	12	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Angela Dugalic	1	100%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Cotie McMahon	1	100%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Lauren Betts	3	100%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Cassandre Prosper	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Georgia Amoore	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Alicia Florez	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	2	50%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	14	57%	47	47%	2	0%	2	50%