NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Excitement	8.6 [144]		MVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): +24.9%
Utah Jazz	127		Comeback	19.4 [9]		LVP	Julius Randle (MIN): -14.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Clark	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Anthony Edwards	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.04	0.14	-0.05	0.05	28	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.05
Donte DiVincenzo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Joan Beringer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	16	53%	0.09	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.00	15	43%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	16	50%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.14	0.00	10	67%	0.29	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.06
Keyonte George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.06	0.03	28	67%	0.39	6	-0.18	8	87%	0.03
Ace Bailey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	17	57%	0.20	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.06
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	11	64%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	0.0	30.1	0.0	29.8	0.0	42.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +87.9%

UTA +5.2%

MIN -15.2%

MIN -28.2%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	13.7	14.2	115.1	119.8	113.7
season	14.0	14.0		116.4	113.3
opponent	13.7	14.1		121.0	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.6	13.8	13.0	14.1	13.4
UTA	16.0	13.9	13.6	11.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joan Beringer	36	35	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.00	15	-20	35	13.5	13.3	0.20	14.5	13.4	1.16
Mike Conley	65	65	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-12	19	13.5	13.2	0.25	14.0	13.3	0.72
Bones Hyland	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	0	-5	13.9	13.3	0.55	15.1	13.5	1.55
Jaylen Clark	83	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	2	-9	13.8	11.9	1.95	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Naz Reid	91	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	13.3	13.9	-0.63	14.1	11.6	2.49
Julius Randle	106	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.4	0.0	13.40	13.7	0.0	13.74
Anthony Edwards	106	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.4	0.0	13.40	13.7	0.0	13.74
Jaden McDaniels	93	93	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	4	-13	13.3	14.2	-0.95	13.5	15.7	-2.23
Rudy Gobert	86	85	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.36	-13	8	-21	13.5	13.1	0.37	13.8	13.4	0.38
Donte DiVincenzo	78	77	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.47	-14	9	-23	13.4	13.3	0.10	13.5	14.4	-0.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ace Bailey	86	86	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-6	17	13.4	15.0	-1.62	13.3	13.6	-0.25
Jusuf Nurki?	86	86	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-6	17	13.4	15.0	-1.62	13.3	13.6	-0.25
Walter Clayton Jr.	36	37	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-14	33	12.3	14.5	-2.17	14.8	12.6	2.17
Keyonte George	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	13.7	0.0	13.74	13.4	0.0	13.40
Kyle Filipowski	104	105	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	13.8	9.0	4.83	13.4	10.0	3.43
Isaiah Collier	88	89	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	8	-11	14.1	11.9	2.22	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Kyle Anderson	81	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	5	-5	14.3	11.9	2.38	13.7	12.4	1.32
Svi Mykhailiuk	56	57	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	13	-21	14.5	12.9	1.62	13.0	13.8	-0.78
Cody Williams	72	72	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.04	-11	16	-27	14.6	11.9	2.64	13.1	13.9	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.97,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	92.6%
SEA 94, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.95,1	92.3%
ATL 88, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.92,1	92.0%