NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	11.5 [16]		MVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): +52.6%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	3.0 [404]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (CHI): -32.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Giddey	0.53	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.12	0.40	-0.01	18	73%	0.64	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.00	5	86%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Kevin Huerter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.21,-0.12	0.00	-0.12	0.01	11	50%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	21	50%	0.05	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.33	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.00	-0.33	0.00	13	45%	-0.31	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.21	-0.01	19	61%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.16	-0.02	30	50%	0.27	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.07	-0.02	11	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	21	48%	0.04	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	16	41%	0.04	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	27.2	15.4	22.5	2.3	33.4	2.4	11.2	141.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +55.7%

CHI -9.6%

CHI -6.9%

NYK +1.5%

NYK +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.4	100.0	100.9	112.6
season	13.3	15.2		111.0	119.2
opponent	14.1	14.4		113.4	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	13.6	13.2	14.2	16.9	10.7	14.0
NYK	12.1	13.5	13.5	16.6	22.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	46	48	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-9	16	15.2	13.2	2.09	13.9	15.0	-1.06
Tre Jones	25	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	16.2	13.4	2.82	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Jalen Smith	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	13.8	14.0	-0.23	10.4	14.7	-4.29
Zach Collins	28	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-1	0	16.7	13.1	3.56	13.2	15.0	-1.85
Matas Buzelis	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	1	-4	12.7	15.3	-2.60	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Josh Giddey	67	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-9	16	14.1	13.9	0.18	16.1	11.8	4.38
Coby White	87	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-5	8	13.7	15.3	-1.62	15.0	12.8	2.24
Lonzo Ball	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-7	12	13.2	15.0	-1.76	15.6	13.0	2.59
Kevin Huerter	42	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	9	-20	14.8	13.5	1.27	11.6	16.2	-4.52
Nikola Vucevic	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	13.1	16.2	-3.17	15.3	12.8	2.54
Ayo Dosunmu	61	60	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	14	-30	14.0	14.0	0.07	13.4	15.7	-2.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	91	89	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	1	0	15.2	11.6	3.60	14.0	13.9	0.14
Precious Achiuwa	97	94	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	15.0	11.1	3.89	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Landry Shamet	38	37	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	0	2	12.0	15.8	-3.82	14.6	13.7	0.82
Miles McBride	88	89	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.39	-2	4	-6	15.0	12.8	2.12	13.5	16.2	-2.70
Karl-Anthony Towns	91	95	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.22	2	0	2	14.6	14.0	0.67	13.4	17.8	-4.43
Cameron Payne	37	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	0	2	12.9	15.3	-2.36	16.6	12.9	3.66
Jalen Brunson	82	84	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	-1	4	15.1	12.7	2.41	13.3	16.3	-3.01
Ariel Hukporti	36	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	12.8	15.3	-2.54	16.2	13.1	3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.78,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 117, NJN 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.99,1	91.3%
GSW 104, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.9,0.99,0.99,1	90.0%
ORL 114, HOU 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.31,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	89.7%