inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 107 Excitement7.1 [445] MVPBennedict Mathurin (IND): +35.5%
Indiana Pacers 116 Comeback2.5 [284] LVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -7.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.06-0.031855%0.204-0.101164%-0.01
Luguentz Dort0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.010.00875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.002150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00567%0.081-0.052100%0.01
Cason Wallace0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.01558%0.062-0.04250%-0.00
Chet Holmgren0.020,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.021551%0.061-0.04989%0.03
Jaylin Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00367%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.032052%0.116-0.18683%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.230.150.021284%0.381-0.02887%0.01
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.06-0.031765%0.214-0.0800%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.050.04-0.04570%0.1300.0000%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.06-0.02567%0.123-0.05250%-0.01
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.000.051462%0.0600.00683%0.02
Thomas Bryant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.02850%0.042-0.064100%0.02
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01850%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011137%0.002-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.23.037.017.028.12.739.3156.4
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +25.5%
IND +1.5%
IND +3.9%
IND +17.2%
IND +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCINDNBAOKCINDNBA
this game14.314.214.4104.9116.0113.1
season13.713.9117.8115.3
opponent14.714.7113.0105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.814.214.716.014.3
IND13.413.515.314.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylin Williams10-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-101114.014.3-0.350.014.2-14.17
Aaron Wiggins2221-0.01-0.490.480.14-5-4-114.514.30.2012.414.6-2.20
Isaiah Joe97-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-9914.014.4-0.3815.914.01.81
Kenrich Williams34-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-7516.714.32.3915.514.11.39
Isaiah Hartenstein3738-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-5115.213.91.3313.814.4-0.61
Cason Wallace5653-0.18-0.320.140.11-101-1114.014.7-0.7213.614.8-1.20
Chet Holmgren7470-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-101114.514.00.4214.513.41.15
Luguentz Dort7374-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.411-101114.414.30.0514.712.62.10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8886-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.38-3-6314.414.00.4014.512.32.19
Alex Caruso6769-0.520.02-0.53-0.08-156-2114.314.4-0.1313.814.9-1.06
Jalen Williams8078-0.520.02-0.54-0.25-90-913.915.8-1.8214.114.4-0.25

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Obi Toppin57590.54-0.040.570.0118-92713.215.4-2.1514.913.61.36
Andrew Nembhard68710.490.010.490.4136-314.313.90.3914.613.80.77
Bennedict Mathurin46470.400.100.31-0.0616-72314.114.3-0.1915.513.32.20
Tyrese Haliburton76760.370.130.230.3418-714.214.00.2814.115.1-0.98
Pascal Siakam68700.320.180.140.0981714.513.50.9914.114.9-0.82
Aaron Nesmith47460.290.210.070.2618-714.813.61.2013.315.2-1.93
T.J. McConnell31340.200.30-0.10-0.1512-31513.514.5-1.0414.714.20.54
Myles Turner63610.150.35-0.210.38-817-2515.112.52.6313.815.1-1.34
Thomas Bryant56-0.070.57-0.650.04-413-1711.614.3-2.7118.314.14.24
Ben Sheppard3940-0.180.68-0.87-0.13-211-1313.314.7-1.4113.714.7-0.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 94, DAL 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.53,0.7,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.95,192.3%
POR 92, MIA 1040.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.89,0.93,1,1,191.7%
MIA 111, MIN 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,191.6%