NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	2.4 [287]		MVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): +14.3%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	7.8 [114]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAS): -23.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,0.1,0.12	-0.06	0.18	-0.00	31	45%	0.23	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Landry Shamet	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	-0.00	9	72%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	15	53%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	12	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jose Alvarado	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.02	11	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	-0.00	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	16	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	21	47%	0.18	6	-0.21	13	92%	0.09
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	13	25%	-0.18	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	29.9	0.0	31.9	0.0	39.1	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +39.4%

SAS -3.4%

SAS -2.0%

NYK +17.3%

SAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	13.2	14.2	107.1	96.9	113.4
season	15.0	13.8		118.4	117.0
opponent	14.6	14.2		108.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	15.2	16.5	17.4	16.2
SAS	13.3	12.5	13.0	13.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	70	71	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.11	27	-17	44	15.9	16.9	-0.99	14.0	11.0	2.97
Landry Shamet	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	16.3	9.0	7.26	13.2	11.0	2.18
Mitchell Robinson	81	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	1	8	16.4	15.1	1.29	13.0	14.2	-1.24
Karl-Anthony Towns	93	93	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	0	10	16.3	14.2	2.09	13.2	12.2	1.00
Jalen Brunson	96	96	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	2	6	16.2	15.5	0.70	13.0	22.0	-9.03
Miles McBride	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	2	6	16.3	15.9	0.36	13.7	12.0	1.64
Mikal Bridges	85	84	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	11	-12	16.5	13.9	2.61	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Jordan Clarkson	20	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	3	4	15.3	16.4	-1.05	12.8	13.2	-0.44
OG Anunoby	83	82	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	13	-16	16.6	14.1	2.42	12.9	14.6	-1.68
Jose Alvarado	56	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	16.9	15.3	1.61	13.2	13.1	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Castle	75	75	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-10	10	13.1	13.4	-0.31	16.4	15.6	0.75
Harrison Barnes	65	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-6	2	13.3	12.8	0.55	16.7	15.2	1.56
Carter Bryant	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-1	-8	13.3	13.1	0.22	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Luke Kornet	61	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	13.3	12.8	0.51	16.6	15.5	1.08
Keldon Johnson	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	4	-18	13.4	12.8	0.59	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Dylan Harper	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	13.2	12.5	0.68	16.6	13.3	3.25
Julian Champagnie	94	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	0	-10	13.2	12.5	0.68	16.2	15.5	0.71
De'Aaron Fox	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.2	0.0	13.15	16.2	0.0	16.18
Victor Wembanyama	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.2	0.0	13.15	16.2	0.0	16.18
Devin Vassell	91	91	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.22	-16	6	-22	13.0	14.9	-1.84	16.5	12.7	3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.46,0.55,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.26,0.09,0.09,0	89.7%
SAC 103, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.16,0	89.4%
SAC 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.69,0.42,0	89.3%