NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	8.8 [119]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +28.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	77		Comeback	3.4 [176]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -23.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.13,-0.06,0.28	0.06	0.23	0.01	20	55%	0.33	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04	-0.08	0.12	0.00	8	33%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	15	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	19	40%	-0.08	1	-0.09	2	0%	-0.06
Ryan Gomes	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,0.14	0.14	-0.04	0.18	-0.01	11	37%	0.19	1	-0.05	8	62%	0.04
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	8	36%	0.00	5	-0.24	6	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	30.3	15.0	26.1	1.8	41.0	140.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +13.7%

PHI -31.5%

LAC +24.2%

LAC +9.6%

LAC +34.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	17.3	17.2	15.6	94.0	91.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		106.0	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.7		97.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	15.5	17.1	21.0	17.3
PHI	15.3	17.3	19.8	16.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	37	39	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.89	1	0	1	19.2	15.7	3.42	17.9	16.6	1.25
Reggie Evans	30	31	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-6	13	18.5	16.6	1.88	19.5	15.9	3.53
Chris Paul	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-4	9	16.6	21.4	-4.72	16.8	19.7	-2.92
Mo Williams	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	1	-1	17.2	17.4	-0.25	17.0	17.8	-0.79
Blake Griffin	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	5	-9	17.6	15.9	1.71	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Caron Butler	52	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	5	-9	16.3	18.9	-2.56	15.9	19.7	-3.80
DeAndre Jordan	37	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	2	-3	16.9	17.5	-0.62	17.3	17.2	0.08
Randy Foye	45	47	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.38	1	0	1	17.5	17.0	0.49	18.0	16.2	1.81
Ryan Gomes	17	16	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.34	-2	3	-5	14.9	17.9	-3.00	15.7	17.6	-1.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	21	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	2	-5	18.3	16.9	1.41	17.2	17.3	-0.09
Lavoy Allen	46	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-9	17	17.2	17.3	-0.16	17.3	17.2	0.11
Evan Turner	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	1	-3	17.5	17.1	0.36	15.8	17.8	-2.01
Jrue Holiday	66	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.45	9	-10	19	17.0	17.9	-0.91	18.0	14.9	3.07
Elton Brand	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-5	9	16.9	17.8	-0.94	18.3	15.3	2.99
Jodie Meeks	56	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	5	-11	17.2	17.3	-0.09	16.9	18.0	-1.18
Andre Iguodala	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	3	-7	17.3	17.1	0.19	17.5	16.1	1.38
Louis Williams	43	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-1	1	16.7	17.8	-1.18	16.7	17.9	-1.24
Thaddeus Young	46	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	12	-25	17.6	16.8	0.80	16.4	18.4	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	91.4%
SAC 104, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.45,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.42,0	90.5%
POR 95, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.58,0	90.1%