NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	9.2 [93]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (TOR): +26.0%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	11.8 [76]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -15.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.14	0.01	16	63%	0.28	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	6	108%	0.23	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	6	77%	0.13	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	5	64%	0.19	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	0.01	24	48%	0.15	6	-0.18	8	87%	0.03
Sonny Weems	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	9	11%	-0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	16	48%	0.27	1	-0.14	10	90%	0.07
David Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.02	21	64%	0.15	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	13	54%	0.08	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.03	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	14	44%	-0.04	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	27.3	17.3	28.6	2.6	37.0	139.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +62.8%

NYK -10.8%

TOR +14.5%

NYK -21.8%

TOR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	15.3	102.9	103.0	106.0
season	15.0	14.7		109.6	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.9	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.3	13.1	12.7	15.6	14.2
NYK	12.8	16.9	13.0	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	54	52	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-6	14	14.3	14.0	0.35	14.9	13.2	1.72
Chris Bosh	88	87	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-6	14	14.2	14.0	0.19	14.4	12.0	2.40
Jose Calderon	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	-15	32	13.8	14.5	-0.75	15.2	13.0	2.12
Jarrett Jack	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.56	-5	7	-12	14.9	12.8	2.07	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Andrea Bargnani	68	65	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	8	-14	13.7	15.0	-1.22	13.3	15.5	-2.22
Hedo Turkoglu	77	76	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.49	-9	11	-20	14.0	14.7	-0.65	13.4	16.0	-2.62
Marco Belinelli	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.21	11	-9	20	12.6	14.8	-2.22	15.0	13.7	1.32
Amir Johnson	35	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.05	1	1	0	15.4	13.5	1.83	15.5	13.3	2.21
Rasho Nesterovic	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	10.3	14.3	-3.95	6.3	14.3	-7.97
Sonny Weems	41	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.16	-13	15	-28	14.6	13.9	0.74	13.1	14.7	-1.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	15.7	13.1	2.58	14.2	14.1	0.11
Wilson Chandler	83	83	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.43	13	-15	28	13.7	15.6	-1.88	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Jordan Hill	14	14	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	4	-10	16.6	13.7	2.99	14.6	14.1	0.47
David Lee	87	89	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-6	10	13.7	16.6	-2.99	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Al Harrington	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	2	-6	13.5	15.4	-1.88	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Chris Duhon	72	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	10	-22	14.5	13.1	1.35	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Danilo Gallinari	80	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.58	4	-6	10	13.8	14.9	-1.05	14.6	12.4	2.13
Nate Robinson	59	60	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.42	-8	6	-14	14.0	14.2	-0.21	14.3	14.0	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.55,0.76,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.42,0	89.2%
NOP 120, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.67,0.59,0	89.0%
LAL 90, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.84,0.58,0	88.7%