NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	9.9 [18]		MVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): +69.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	3.2 [62]		LVP	Gary Trent Jr. (MIL): -26.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.52	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.52	0.10	0.40	-0.02	25	56%	0.55	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Sam Merrill	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.11	0.04	10	85%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.10	0.01	5	108%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	10	58%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.08
Dean Wade	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	13	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.7	0.70	0.29	0.41	0.01	24	73%	0.71	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.02	7	114%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.14	0.14	0.15	-0.00	0.01	27	56%	0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Pat Connaughton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	10	15%	-0.17	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	28.2	14.7	28.0	1.8	34.6	134.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.4%

CLE +0.6%

CLE +9.6%

CLE +14.2%

CLE +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	14.4	118.8	117.7	112.0
season	13.7	14.5		122.4	111.0
opponent	14.4	14.9		111.8	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	12.7	15.4	15.9	14.1
MIL	15.3	15.6	16.6	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	54	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-11	23	14.4	13.8	0.64	16.6	14.9	1.70
Georges Niang	42	41	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.60	-3	4	-7	13.3	14.8	-1.49	15.7	16.0	-0.34
Donovan Mitchell	67	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.60	-8	9	-17	14.3	13.7	0.60	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Evan Mobley	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	3	-5	14.7	13.2	1.49	16.1	15.5	0.61
Darius Garland	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	3	-5	14.9	12.4	2.54	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Dean Wade	47	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-5	11	13.7	14.6	-0.87	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Craig Porter Jr.	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	-5	11	12.6	14.4	-1.79	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Sam Merrill	46	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-5	11	13.4	14.8	-1.37	16.3	15.4	0.90
Ty Jerome	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	-1	3	12.1	14.7	-2.52	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Jarrett Allen	65	66	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.18	-12	13	-25	14.7	13.0	1.64	15.5	16.7	-1.23

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	67	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.41	10	-11	21	15.8	16.0	-0.21	14.7	12.7	2.02
Delon Wright	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	4	-9	16.7	15.4	1.30	12.8	14.9	-2.14
Andre Jackson Jr.	29	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	7	-15	17.2	15.3	1.99	13.4	14.5	-1.07
Pat Connaughton	21	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	5	-11	16.0	15.8	0.25	12.6	14.6	-2.02
Gary Trent Jr.	70	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.45	8	-9	17	15.2	17.7	-2.52	14.5	13.2	1.26
Taurean Prince	64	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.41	4	-5	9	15.3	17.0	-1.72	14.6	13.4	1.23
Damian Lillard	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-4	7	16.0	15.5	0.46	14.6	12.4	2.20
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.59	5	-6	11	15.3	18.2	-2.89	14.6	12.3	2.23
Bobby Portis	40	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	15	-31	17.0	15.0	2.05	12.8	15.2	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.26,0	91.7%
NJN 91, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.28,0	90.4%
BOS 89, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.22,0.28,0	89.3%