NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	9.4 [113]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +13.6%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	2.4 [234]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -23.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.07	0.03	15	61%	0.20	2	-0.07	14	79%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.36,-0.26,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	12	32%	-0.08	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.09
Vince Carter	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	23	46%	-0.05	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.07

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	0.01	15	53%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	10	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.12
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	15	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Anthony Grundy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.01,-0.24	-0.24	0.00	-0.23	0.02	20	51%	-0.04	3	-0.20	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	36.1	18.8	23.4	1.7	42.0	150.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -80.8%

NJN +54.9%

NJN +69.7%

NJN +8.7%

ATL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.6	101.1	98.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.6		102.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.6	13.6	18.2	14.4	16.1
ATL	15.0	17.1	16.9	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	52	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-11	25	14.2	18.6	-4.30	16.2	15.9	0.29
Richard Jefferson	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	16.2	15.1	1.13	16.1	16.1	0.02
Vince Carter	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	3	-3	15.9	16.7	-0.78	16.3	15.5	0.77
Jason Kidd	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.47	-4	7	-11	15.8	16.9	-1.14	16.5	15.0	1.52
Zoran Planinic	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-6	15	14.9	16.9	-1.94	16.4	15.9	0.58
Jacque Vaughn	25	25	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	-4	11	15.9	16.1	-0.20	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Nenad Krstic	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	8	-13	18.0	14.1	3.87	16.4	15.8	0.53
Lamond Murray	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-1	5	14.2	16.3	-2.05	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Antoine Wright	14	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	7	-11	15.5	16.2	-0.67	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Jason Collins	47	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	12	-21	18.1	13.8	4.27	15.8	16.5	-0.64

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-8	13	16.2	16.0	0.21	16.1	16.0	0.09
John Edwards	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	0	-3	14.9	16.3	-1.49	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Donta Smith	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-3	3	19.0	16.0	3.02	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Anthony Grundy	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	2	-7	14.6	16.3	-1.73	14.6	16.2	-1.65
Zaza Pachulia	50	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-7	11	16.4	15.8	0.61	17.5	14.2	3.30
Marvin Williams	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	3	-9	15.9	16.4	-0.50	14.7	17.3	-2.58
Josh Smith	60	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-5	7	16.5	15.3	1.14	17.9	12.1	5.75
Joe Johnson	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-5	7	16.3	14.6	1.73	16.1	15.9	0.20
Al Harrington	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	15.9	17.6	-1.61	16.1	16.0	0.08
Josh Childress	71	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	7	-17	16.0	16.7	-0.69	14.8	21.2	-6.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	92.1%
DET 102, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.42,0	92.1%
MEM 97, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0	91.8%