NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	8.6 [158]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +20.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	2.7 [521]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): -21.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.05	0.01	12	83%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	17	51%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	14	56%	0.15	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Sam Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	0.01	15	44%	-0.16	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.02	13	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.17	4	-0.12	6	33%	-0.29
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	40%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.19	-0.01	12	46%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	31.3	15.5	28.3	2.7	38.0	145.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -14.7%

MEM +26.5%

MEM +19.5%

MEM +18.1%

MEM +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.3	105.4	104.4	106.0
season	15.4	14.7		106.8	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	17.0	13.8	18.0	16.2
MIN	15.1	15.0	16.9	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.51	-1	3	-4	16.3	15.9	0.45	15.6	14.0	1.56
O.J. Mayo	74	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	3	-4	16.2	16.4	-0.23	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Mike Conley	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.49	-5	7	-12	17.1	14.1	3.02	14.3	17.4	-3.13
Sam Young	40	39	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	-4	10	15.6	16.7	-1.12	16.9	14.1	2.81
Rudy Gay	81	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	6	-10	16.5	14.1	2.40	14.5	21.8	-7.34
Zach Randolph	71	72	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	2	-2	16.8	14.2	2.55	14.8	17.1	-2.26
Jamaal Tinsley	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-5	12	14.1	17.1	-3.02	17.4	14.3	3.13
DeMarre Carroll	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	-2	6	14.7	16.5	-1.84	15.8	15.2	0.62
Hasheem Thabeet	17	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-2	6	15.0	16.5	-1.48	17.6	14.8	2.80

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-3	4	14.4	15.5	-1.12	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Brian Cardinal	7	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	13.6	15.4	-1.83	17.7	16.0	1.62
Corey Brewer	40	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-5	8	14.8	15.6	-0.78	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Wayne Ellington	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	3	-8	16.0	14.6	1.46	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Ryan Hollins	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	15.3	15.2	0.12	14.0	17.2	-3.17
Jonny Flynn	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-6	10	14.8	16.0	-1.15	17.1	14.9	2.16
Nathan Jawai	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	2	-6	17.6	14.1	3.53	16.8	15.9	0.83
Ryan Gomes	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.50	6	-8	14	14.7	16.3	-1.68	17.8	13.6	4.21
Al Jefferson	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	0	-2	14.6	17.1	-2.47	15.6	18.0	-2.37
Ramon Sessions	49	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	1	-4	15.6	14.9	0.67	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Damien Wilkins	60	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.4	1.33	16.2	16.3	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	93.1%
ORL 106, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0	92.9%
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	92.0%