NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	8.4 [166]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +14.6%
Denver Nuggets	91		Comeback	2.9 [171]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -21.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,0.07,0.15	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	15	63%	0.29	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	20	71%	0.30	3	-0.18	8	87%	0.06
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Zoran Planinic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	11	33%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	22	49%	0.01	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	6	-0.17	9	56%	-0.05
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	16	42%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	10	64%	0.02	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	27.3	16.4	24.6	2.5	38.5	140.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.6%

NJN +23.7%

DEN -32.5%

NJN +21.9%

DEN -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.7	97.9	94.8	100.5
season	15.3	14.9		98.1	101.6
opponent	15.4	16.2		101.1	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.3	14.3	14.0	15.9	14.9
DEN	13.5	14.5	16.0	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	61	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.48	5	-1	6	15.1	14.4	0.76	15.5	14.0	1.47
Kenyon Martin	75	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-4	12	15.4	13.2	2.18	15.3	14.0	1.27
Lucious Harris	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	0	4	14.8	15.1	-0.24	15.3	12.9	2.48
Jason Collins	68	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	1	2	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.2	14.3	0.97
Kerry Kittles	87	84	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.35	1	3	-2	14.9	14.6	0.30	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Zoran Planinic	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	-4	12	12.2	15.6	-3.41	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Aaron Williams	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	1	2	15.6	14.6	0.96	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Rodney Rogers	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	17.0	14.7	2.27	12.8	15.1	-2.30
Brandon Armstrong	34	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	8	-12	14.9	14.9	-0.02	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Brian Scalabrine	24	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	9	-14	13.4	15.3	-1.93	13.9	15.3	-1.42

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	32	34	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-13	22	14.1	15.4	-1.28	12.6	16.1	-3.55
Rodney White	13	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-4	4	12.5	15.4	-2.82	15.8	14.7	1.13
Francisco Elson	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-3	2	14.2	16.2	-2.03	16.4	12.5	3.85
Nene	63	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-12	20	14.6	15.8	-1.19	16.1	12.7	3.37
Voshon Lenard	67	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.37	6	-10	16	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.7	15.3	-0.63
Chris Andersen	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	4	-12	15.5	14.8	0.66	11.1	16.1	-5.03
Jon Barry	30	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	4	-12	14.6	15.2	-0.60	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Michael Doleac	44	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	5	-14	16.7	13.5	3.19	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Carmelo Anthony	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	15.4	12.5	2.82	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Andre Miller	65	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.30	-13	9	-22	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.9	12.9	2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0	93.1%
ORL 106, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0	92.2%
HOU 97, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.41,0	92.2%