inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 106 Excitement8.5 [195] MVPCuttino Mobley (ORL): +30.4%
Utah Jazz 100 Comeback2.6 [249] LVPCarlos Arroyo (UTA): -25.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.30.160.150.011772%0.341-0.03250%-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.090.050.040.001259%0.0900.005100%0.06
Brandon Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00343%-0.0100.001100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Grant Hill-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011453%0.042-0.07667%-0.01
Michael Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mario Kasun-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02445%-0.022-0.03333%-0.05
Steve Francis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.011461%0.085-0.145100%0.04
Dwight Howard-0.210,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21-0.11-0.090.011061%0.027-0.23862%-0.05

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.060.001353%0.0800.004100%0.03
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.08-0.011242%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.05-0.001054%0.111-0.07875%0.01
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,00.00-0.010.010.00450%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03550%-0.002-0.02475%0.00
Raul Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.0010%-0.012-0.1000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.12-0.012654%0.045-0.18250%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25-0.25-0.08-0.17-0.001642%-0.013-0.2410%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.829.914.824.52.531.4130.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +13.4%
ORL +10.8%
ORL +12.1%
ORL +14.6%
UTA -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLUTANBAORLUTANBA
this game14.416.115.5112.8105.3104.0
season14.316.7102.9102.3
opponent15.115.5106.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.613.812.120.714.4
UTA14.616.816.716.416.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Kasun49470.84-0.341.180.2819-133213.715.2-1.5116.415.70.61
Steve Francis74760.460.040.420.3733014.513.90.5915.219.5-4.28
Cuttino Mobley76760.450.050.390.3924-214.713.11.6115.816.9-1.05
Hedo Turkoglu53550.370.130.240.3124-214.714.00.6916.215.80.35
Dwight Howard69690.320.180.150.38-28-1014.713.61.0615.218.4-3.26
Grant Hill58600.150.35-0.210.0342214.115.0-0.9016.116.00.08
DeShawn Stevenson650.070.43-0.37-0.054228.814.8-5.9616.416.00.37
Jameer Nelson20190.040.46-0.42-0.0533013.914.5-0.5919.515.24.28
Brandon Hunter120.010.49-0.490.06-28-1012.014.4-2.4414.016.1-2.10
Michael Bradley78-0.060.56-0.62-0.03-17-815.614.31.2519.615.73.90
Tony Battie5758-0.140.64-0.77-0.08-28-1014.813.81.0916.515.31.19

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries35350.03-0.530.56-0.063-91216.216.00.1914.314.5-0.16
Raul Lopez1413-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-4220.015.44.6318.713.74.96
Jarron Collins2628-0.06-0.440.39-0.112-81015.216.4-1.1812.815.1-2.27
Gordan Giricek1313-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-2-217.515.81.6313.814.5-0.75
Raja Bell5958-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-6615.916.3-0.4513.116.6-3.56
Mehmet Okur7370-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.24-4-2-216.614.42.2015.212.03.24
Kirk Snyder2524-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.29-3-3015.616.2-0.6718.013.24.76
Matt Harpring7674-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.26-82-1016.215.40.7914.912.52.37
Carlos Arroyo8181-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.38-4-2-215.420.0-4.6313.718.7-4.96
Carlos Boozer7374-0.560.06-0.62-0.27-104-1415.717.3-1.5913.816.6-2.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 97, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,092.9%
NJN 95, DEN 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,092.2%
DET 87, MIA 850.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.27,092.0%