NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	7.8 [302]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +40.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	3.9 [151]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (SEA): -12.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.41	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.41	0.14	0.29	0.02	27	59%	0.41	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Yao Ming	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.28	0.06	0.23	0.01	15	65%	0.40	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.06
Jon Barry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mike James	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.25,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.13	0.04	18	68%	0.26	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.13	-0.01	12	52%	0.19	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	64%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.09	0.05	25	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	5	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	28.0	15.8	23.0	1.8	41.0	138.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.0%

SEA -10.4%

HOU +16.9%

HOU +13.6%

SEA -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.5	106.6	106.7	104.0
season	16.0	16.5		104.2	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.8		107.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	15.3	17.1	16.5	15.7
SEA	14.8	16.7	18.0	16.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	71	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	1	0	15.5	16.2	-0.66	16.8	14.7	2.10
Yao Ming	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-6	14	16.3	14.4	1.86	16.8	15.2	1.55
Juwan Howard	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	15.4	16.8	-1.37	16.4	15.9	0.48
Mike James	62	63	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-4	10	16.1	14.8	1.30	15.7	17.7	-1.98
Tracy McGrady	83	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	3	-4	15.8	14.4	1.43	16.3	16.1	0.20
Ryan Bowen	24	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	7	-12	14.9	16.0	-1.04	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Scott Padgett	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	0	2	13.0	15.8	-2.84	15.8	16.4	-0.56
Jon Barry	49	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	3	-4	15.4	16.0	-0.68	16.4	16.2	0.18
Dikembe Mutombo	25	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.02	-5	7	-12	15.9	15.6	0.27	16.1	16.4	-0.33

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	1	1	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-5	8	19.0	16.3	2.70	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Reggie Evans	37	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	15.9	16.7	-0.79	16.1	15.4	0.77
Jerome James	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-8	14	16.3	16.4	-0.07	17.2	13.9	3.32
Nick Collison	27	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	9	-20	16.7	16.2	0.49	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Luke Ridnour	77	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.46	8	-10	18	16.2	17.1	-0.88	16.2	12.8	3.42
Antonio Daniels	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	2	-6	15.9	16.6	-0.66	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Rashard Lewis	75	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.55	8	-10	18	16.4	15.9	0.47	15.9	14.3	1.65
Danny Fortson	20	20	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	11	-24	17.2	16.1	1.19	13.5	16.3	-2.73
Ray Allen	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	1	-4	16.4	15.5	0.93	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Vladimir Radmanovic	48	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	4	-10	16.3	16.4	-0.12	15.1	16.4	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	92.2%
MEM 88, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	91.2%
MEM 97, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0	90.5%