NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	8.3 [219]		MVP	Tarence Kinsey (MEM): +36.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	86		Comeback	3.9 [55]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -28.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarence Kinsey	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.36	0.10	0.29	0.02	19	60%	0.39	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Alexander Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	19	48%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Junior Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	16	41%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	10	38%	-0.02	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.06	0.23	-0.01	12	62%	0.32	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	6	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	15	47%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	26	38%	-0.08	1	-0.04	9	67%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	7	19%	-0.18	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	26.1	15.7	24.2	2.4	36.7	129.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +51.8%

LAL -0.0%

MEM +10.5%

LAL -11.2%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.4	15.4	88.9	91.5	104.5
season	15.1	15.3		105.1	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		107.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	12.2	14.4	15.8	14.4
LAL	13.3	18.1	17.6	13.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	92	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-1	4	14.6	12.0	2.63	15.1	19.8	-4.71
Rudy Gay	82	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	1	0	14.6	13.5	1.10	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Tarence Kinsey	91	87	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	1	0	14.7	11.0	3.75	14.9	21.9	-6.95
Junior Harrington	99	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.4	0.0	14.44	15.4	0.0	15.43
Hakim Warrick	48	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	14.1	14.8	-0.66	15.5	15.3	0.16
Stromile Swift	45	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	3	-4	14.6	14.3	0.24	15.5	15.4	0.09
Dahntay Jones	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	-1	4	12.9	15.2	-2.29	16.9	14.7	2.17
Alexander Johnson	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.17	18.5	15.1	3.36

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	32	33	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-6	10	16.2	15.0	1.20	13.8	14.8	-1.03
Brian Cook	14	16	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-6	10	19.5	14.7	4.79	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Sasha Vujacic	32	33	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-7	12	17.1	14.6	2.48	14.3	14.5	-0.26
Andrew Bynum	44	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	0	-2	14.6	16.2	-1.61	14.9	14.1	0.80
Jordan Farmar	9	9	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	4	-10	20.2	14.9	5.30	16.0	14.3	1.71
Lamar Odom	79	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	0	-2	14.8	18.9	-4.17	14.2	15.7	-1.44
Ronny Turiaf	50	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-3	4	16.2	14.6	1.61	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Kobe Bryant	87	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.48	-1	-1	0	14.9	21.9	-6.95	14.7	11.0	3.75
Smush Parker	58	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	14.4	17.0	-2.60	14.9	13.7	1.23
Luke Walton	65	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	6	-14	15.1	16.2	-1.13	14.2	14.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0	91.6%
HOU 97, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.41,0	91.2%
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	91.0%