NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	6.8 [433]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (HOU): +49.9%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	2.9 [480]		LVP	Toney Douglas (HOU): -13.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Taylor	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	8	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	8	71%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	69%	0.16	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	14	39%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.1,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	23	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.20	0.28	-0.02	12	92%	0.51	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	13	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	17	65%	0.20	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.06	0.06	11	68%	0.02	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	10	43%	0.03	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	11	32%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	30.1	15.6	25.4	1.5	39.4	138.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.9%

CHA -11.5%

HOU +22.0%

HOU +3.8%

HOU +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	15.4	100.0	113.5	104.1
season	15.6	14.2		99.9	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		105.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	17.1	15.1	17.0	15.9
HOU	13.0	13.6	14.9	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	42	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-13	12	15.4	16.3	-0.86	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Ramon Sessions	57	57	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	14.9	17.4	-2.47	14.7	13.7	1.04
Brendan Haywood	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-13	12	15.6	16.0	-0.35	14.6	14.1	0.52
Tyrus Thomas	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	17.0	15.7	1.29	15.7	14.1	1.58
Jeff Adrien	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	15.8	16.0	-0.17	13.5	15.0	-1.53
Jeff Taylor	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	15.5	16.4	-0.85	15.3	13.0	2.28
Bismack Biyombo	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	-1	-12	16.0	15.6	0.35	14.1	14.6	-0.52
Ben Gordon	39	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	3	-20	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.9	13.8	1.08
Gerald Henderson	46	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	16.9	14.9	2.04	13.8	14.8	-1.02
Kemba Walker	83	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.21	-17	3	-20	16.5	11.3	5.21	14.3	14.4	-0.12

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	57	57	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.19	27	-13	40	13.8	15.1	-1.30	16.5	14.9	1.61
Omer Asik	74	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.03	26	-12	38	14.4	13.7	0.72	16.9	12.4	4.58
James Harden	81	79	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.24	16	-2	18	14.1	15.2	-1.09	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Chandler Parsons	85	86	0.65	-0.14	0.79	0.09	19	-5	24	14.3	13.8	0.52	16.2	12.7	3.55
Jeremy Lin	69	69	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.23	13	1	12	13.9	15.2	-1.31	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Carlos Delfino	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	9	-4	15.7	14.1	1.58	17.0	15.7	1.29
Toney Douglas	41	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	25	-36	14.7	14.0	0.74	14.9	16.5	-1.56
Cole Aldrich	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	26	-38	13.7	14.4	-0.72	12.4	16.9	-4.58
Marcus Morris	39	38	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.10	-13	27	-40	15.1	13.8	1.30	14.9	16.5	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.98,0.9,1	93.3%
SAS 87, OKC 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1	93.3%
CHI 102, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%