NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	6.7 [441]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +23.1%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.4 [893]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -15.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.07	0.04	13	57%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.03	18	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Thomas Gardner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.05	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	18	43%	-0.04	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.09

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.05	0.03	15	74%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	14	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	16	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	54%	0.12	2	-0.10	8	50%	-0.06
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.08	-0.02	9	48%	0.14	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	11	40%	-0.05	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	29.0	19.8	25.2	3.6	36.4	142.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +62.3%

PHX +4.4%

CHI -15.6%

CHI -0.1%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	12.7	15.4	99.0	108.7	105.7
season	15.0	13.8		102.2	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	16.5	15.1	14.5	15.3
PHX	14.0	10.2	13.7	13.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	50	48	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.06	12	-22	34	14.1	16.4	-2.32	13.5	12.1	1.40
Ben Gordon	80	80	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-14	18	14.6	17.6	-2.98	13.1	11.4	1.70
Thomas Gardner	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-5	0	17.6	15.0	2.67	9.2	13.1	-3.89
Chris Duhon	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-9	8	16.4	14.7	1.70	13.3	12.4	0.96
Ben Wallace	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	16.0	14.6	1.46	12.8	12.6	0.21
Joe Smith	26	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	15.7	15.1	0.59	10.5	13.4	-2.90
Luol Deng	95	95	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	0	-10	15.4	13.6	1.76	12.9	10.5	2.39
Andres Nocioni	88	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	4	-18	15.2	15.6	-0.41	12.6	13.6	-1.00
Kirk Hinrich	80	82	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.11	-20	10	-30	15.1	15.7	-0.57	12.6	13.1	-0.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-2	14	12.8	12.6	0.21	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Grant Hill	83	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-5	20	12.4	13.9	-1.54	15.4	14.7	0.70
Shawn Marion	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	13.2	10.6	2.55	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-6	22	12.5	13.0	-0.55	16.0	14.3	1.72
Leandro Barbosa	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	6	-2	12.2	13.9	-1.70	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Boris Diaw	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	11	-12	12.7	12.7	-0.01	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Raja Bell	73	71	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	9	-8	12.8	12.4	0.39	15.8	14.1	1.68
Brian Skinner	7	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	16	-22	15.7	12.5	3.22	13.0	15.4	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.99,1,1	92.8%
CHA 95, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.8%
SAS 87, OKC 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1	92.8%