NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	7.6 [351]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (WAS): +13.7%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.4 [409]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -16.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.01	14	60%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Devin Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Frazier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	11	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Markieff Morris	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.10	0.04	15	43%	-0.08	1	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	15	35%	-0.09	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.11	-0.03	9	60%	0.19	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	3	81%	0.13	2	-0.11	10	70%	-0.04
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Purvis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	53%	0.07	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jamel Artis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	25.3	14.7	32.2	2.2	34.7	137.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.8%

ORL +16.5%

WAS -15.0%

WAS -9.2%

ORL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.7	92.9	104.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	16.2	12.9	15.5	15.0
ORL	14.0	15.1	17.8	11.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Robinson	29	28	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-19	29	13.7	15.6	-1.87	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Mike Scott	41	41	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-14	19	15.4	14.7	0.65	15.5	13.6	1.89
Ian Mahinmi	36	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.07	5	-14	19	15.7	14.6	1.08	14.5	14.3	0.20
Tim Frazier	21	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	15.7	14.8	0.89	14.6	14.3	0.28
Jodie Meeks	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.4	14.8	0.61	12.7	15.6	-2.92
Tomas Satoransky	87	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	15.0	15.0	0.01	14.3	14.7	-0.34
Marcin Gortat	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.42	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Markieff Morris	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	2	-13	14.5	15.9	-1.31	14.7	13.7	1.07
Kelly Oubre Jr.	56	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.18	-15	6	-21	15.2	14.7	0.51	13.8	15.1	-1.36
Bradley Beal	73	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.27	-16	7	-23	15.0	15.2	-0.19	15.2	12.2	3.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wes Iwundu	49	50	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-7	23	14.9	13.8	1.15	15.4	14.6	0.83
Mario Hezonja	67	66	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.25	15	-6	21	14.3	14.4	-0.09	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Rodney Purvis	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-2	13	13.5	15.3	-1.79	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Khem Birch	66	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	7	-5	14.6	13.8	0.78	15.0	15.1	-0.17
Bismack Biyombo	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	5	-1	15.5	14.1	1.40	16.8	14.5	2.27
Jamel Artis	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	14	-19	14.1	14.6	-0.53	14.2	15.7	-1.52
Shelvin Mack	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	16.9	12.7	4.15	14.6	15.2	-0.61
D.J. Augustin	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.55	15.4	14.9	0.52
Nikola Vucevic	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.55	15.4	14.9	0.52
Aaron Gordon	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.55	15.4	14.9	0.52
Arron Afflalo	37	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	5	-1	12.1	15.8	-3.66	15.2	14.9	0.24
Marreese Speights	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	11	-13	17.3	14.1	3.14	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Terrence Ross	30	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.02	-11	20	-31	13.9	14.6	-0.63	15.1	15.0	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%
MIA 90, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%
SAS 87, OKC 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1	92.5%