NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	7.7 [270]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +17.4%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.6 [802]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -53.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	90%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	17	59%	0.05	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	20	47%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Webber	-0.24	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	18	36%	-0.18	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.00	19	60%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.20	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.28,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.42,-0.46,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54	-0.54	-0.38	-0.19	-0.03	25	34%	-0.37	7	-0.17	18	61%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.4	31.0	16.8	28.2	3.7	38.0	145.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.1%

SAC -1.0%

PHX +23.9%

PHX +1.3%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.7	99.0	104.1	100.5
season	14.7	14.6		106.9	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	16.5	15.1	13.7	15.1
PHX	13.1	13.0	14.9	17.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	46	44	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.09	7	-12	19	14.6	15.6	-1.04	14.9	14.3	0.61
Darius Songaila	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.9	15.0	0.90	16.9	14.3	2.63
Anthony Peeler	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	0	-5	14.0	15.6	-1.61	16.5	13.8	2.72
Peja Stojakovic	92	91	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-7	9	15.1	15.8	-0.72	14.6	14.8	-0.27
Brad Miller	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.4	16.5	-2.07	15.0	13.7	1.37
Doug Christie	79	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-1	-3	15.3	14.2	1.16	13.9	18.1	-4.13
Mike Bibby	90	89	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	3	-11	15.3	12.3	3.05	14.6	14.7	-0.19
Chris Webber	72	74	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	8	-21	16.0	12.7	3.28	13.6	17.6	-3.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	81	80	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-7	19	13.9	18.0	-4.10	15.7	12.2	3.56
Leandro Barbosa	50	51	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-9	23	14.6	14.5	0.09	15.6	14.6	1.04
Joe Johnson	90	89	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-3	11	14.1	20.4	-6.31	15.2	14.2	0.94
Shawn Marion	84	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-1	7	15.3	9.8	5.46	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	83	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	4	-3	14.3	16.0	-1.66	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Zarko Cabarkapa	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	9.8	15.3	-5.46	16.0	15.0	1.01
Donnell Harvey	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	8	-11	17.6	13.6	3.92	12.7	15.9	-3.25
Maciej Lampe	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	15.4	14.5	0.92	19.0	14.8	4.19
Casey Jacobsen	54	54	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	17	-29	15.3	13.7	1.62	14.5	15.9	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.98,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.3%
SAS 87, OKC 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1	93.0%
WAS 92, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.99,1,1	91.8%