NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	7.2 [442]		MVP	Jeff Green (WAS): +19.3%
Washington Wizards	114		Comeback	1.0 [1026]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -19.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	19	60%	0.16	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	14	41%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.05	0.03	14	70%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	8	37%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	8	31%	-0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	13	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.01	7	80%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.07	0.04	20	56%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	10	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	10	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	54%	0.03	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	15	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	27.1	14.0	28.6	2.0	29.0	130.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.4%

WAS +10.4%

ATL -6.9%

WAS +4.6%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	14.3	98.0	115.2	109.3
season	13.6	13.8		107.2	109.8
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.4	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	13.0	13.0	15.8	14.5
WAS	13.6	13.1	15.2	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	43	43	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-21	26	12.9	15.6	-2.77	14.6	14.4	0.25
Tyler Dorsey	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	11.0	14.5	-3.49	21.0	14.4	6.58
Vince Carter	33	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-11	6	13.6	14.9	-1.27	11.5	15.8	-4.28
Justin Anderson	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-9	2	14.7	14.4	0.23	10.1	15.0	-4.94
Daniel Hamilton	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-8	0	15.8	13.5	2.27	14.6	14.4	0.15
John Collins	52	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-9	2	15.1	13.7	1.37	16.1	12.6	3.54
Alex Len	61	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-10	4	13.8	15.6	-1.81	13.6	15.8	-2.16
DeAndre' Bembry	56	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-8	0	13.5	15.7	-2.26	15.3	13.5	1.76
Kevin Huerter	92	94	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-5	-6	14.5	13.7	0.77	14.5	14.4	0.09
Dewayne Dedmon	53	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	15.2	13.6	1.63	15.4	13.4	1.95
Trae Young	57	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	3	-22	15.5	13.0	2.48	14.4	14.6	-0.21

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	75	76	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.04	22	-6	28	13.7	16.9	-3.15	15.0	12.8	2.20
Thomas Bryant	80	82	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.01	20	-4	24	14.0	16.5	-2.46	14.5	14.1	0.43
Jeff Green	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	1	14	15.0	13.2	1.81	15.2	12.5	2.66
Tomas Satoransky	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	3	10	14.6	14.2	0.42	14.9	13.3	1.61
Trevor Ariza	80	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	5	6	14.7	13.4	1.38	14.9	12.8	2.09
Otto Porter Jr.	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	13	-10	13.3	15.0	-1.69	12.5	15.4	-2.84
Troy Brown Jr.	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	16	-16	17.2	14.1	3.05	13.2	14.6	-1.47
Sam Dekker	33	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	17	-18	15.0	14.2	0.82	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Chasson Randle	36	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	19	-22	15.0	14.2	0.77	13.0	15.4	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, OKC 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1	93.7%
TOR 93, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	93.0%
MIA 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.85,1,1	92.8%