NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	6.1 [604]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +22.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.3 [1122]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -15.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	19	54%	0.18	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	17	63%	0.22	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Alexis Ajinca	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.15	-0.03	12	59%	0.28	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.06
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	13	61%	0.13	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	16	65%	0.16	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.3	27.0	15.8	24.5	2.6	40.0	139.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.1%

PHI +5.3%

TOR -2.6%

PHI +27.7%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.5	100.0	105.4	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		104.7	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.4	14.8	16.4	17.0	16.2
PHI	12.4	14.0	20.6	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Dorsey	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	13.5	16.7	-3.13	16.3	14.5	1.74
Sonny Weems	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.1	16.7	-2.61	15.5	14.6	0.86
Alexis Ajinca	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-4	3	13.8	17.5	-3.68	14.1	15.2	-1.11
James Johnson	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.2	16.1	0.05	14.9	14.7	0.11
Julian Wright	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.41	6	-11	17	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.8	13.7	2.18
Ed Davis	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-5	5	17.0	13.4	3.59	15.0	14.1	0.84
Reggie Evans	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	1	-7	17.1	14.0	3.09	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Jerryd Bayless	81	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.5	16.7	-2.14
DeMar DeRozan	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	16.6	12.9	3.69	14.3	18.7	-4.45

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	78	77	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	14.8	15.0	-0.23	16.2	15.8	0.42
Thaddeus Young	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-2	9	14.1	16.6	-2.46	15.4	17.9	-2.49
Jrue Holiday	77	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	1	3	14.9	14.5	0.37	16.4	15.0	1.40
Andre Iguodala	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.48	-6	11	-17	15.6	13.6	2.04	16.5	15.6	0.99
Elton Brand	74	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	3	-1	14.7	15.1	-0.31	16.4	15.2	1.22
Evan Turner	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	14.0	16.3	-2.32	15.5	17.4	-1.86
Spencer Hawes	44	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	6	-7	16.3	13.5	2.83	17.1	15.2	1.87
Antonio Daniels	8	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	3	-1	13.2	15.0	-1.70	13.8	16.4	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.0%
CHI 109, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.95,1,1	93.8%
LAC 96, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.6%