NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	5.9 [604]		MVP	Johnny Newman (MIL): +6.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.3 [882]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -18.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	110%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brett Szabo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Brickowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	10	58%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Dana Barros	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	6	65%	0.02	2	-0.10	8	62%	-0.03
Dino Radja	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	14	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.02	-0.08	9	41%	0.04	5	-0.12	4	50%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	8	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	20	57%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	15	52%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	61%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.05	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	13	53%	-0.04	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.2	14.8	22.3	2.4	24.5	116.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +6.7%

BOS -5.2%

MIL +37.6%

MIL +7.0%

MIL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	17.6	15.6	95.6	109.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.0		101.8	103.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		106.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	13.0	12.1	17.2	14.0
MIL	15.3	19.1	20.0	16.3	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Brickowski	12	12	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.00	0	-13	13	13.2	14.2	-0.91	18.4	17.5	0.94
Todd Day	48	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-15	17	13.0	15.2	-2.12	18.7	16.4	2.25
Brett Szabo	7	7	-0.04	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-8	3	9.7	14.4	-4.69	17.3	17.6	-0.35
Dana Barros	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-12	11	12.9	14.9	-2.04	18.7	16.7	1.95
Antoine Walker	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-14	15	13.7	14.4	-0.71	19.2	16.0	3.17
Rick Fox	41	42	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.09	-14	1	-15	14.5	13.7	0.85	16.2	18.8	-2.63
Dino Radja	71	70	-0.36	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-5	-3	14.2	13.3	0.89	17.9	16.7	1.22
Greg Minor	42	42	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	0	-13	15.2	13.1	2.13	16.3	18.7	-2.45
David Wesley	80	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.17	-10	-3	-7	14.3	12.2	2.12	17.7	16.8	0.90
Eric Williams	67	67	-0.54	0.05	-0.59	-0.04	-17	4	-21	14.8	12.0	2.72	16.3	21.2	-4.95

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	47	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	3	7	18.9	16.2	2.67	15.3	12.7	2.55
Ray Allen	73	74	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.08	17	-4	21	17.4	18.3	-0.91	13.7	15.7	-2.04
Andrew Lang	68	68	0.39	0.10	0.28	0.01	13	0	13	17.5	18.0	-0.47	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Vin Baker	71	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.02	13	0	13	17.0	19.9	-2.94	14.1	13.8	0.32
Sherman Douglas	71	71	0.36	0.13	0.23	-0.08	15	-2	17	17.2	18.9	-1.72	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Armen Gilliam	41	41	0.23	0.26	-0.03	0.26	-1	14	-15	19.2	16.3	2.94	14.3	13.8	0.50
Shawn Respert	12	11	0.19	0.30	-0.12	0.13	2	11	-9	16.6	17.8	-1.18	17.5	13.6	3.98
Elliot Perry	20	20	0.13	0.36	-0.23	0.19	-2	15	-17	18.9	17.2	1.72	15.1	13.7	1.35
Glenn Robinson	25	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	9	-5	15.8	18.3	-2.49	14.2	14.0	0.23
Chucky Brown	18	19	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	17	-21	19.6	17.1	2.50	10.8	14.9	-4.05
David Wood	9	9	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	15	-17	13.3	18.1	-4.74	12.1	14.3	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	94.0%
GSW 103, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%
PHI 101, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%