NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	6.4 [543]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +23.6%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.1 [1161]		LVP	Zach Randolph (LAC): -15.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	20	56%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Novak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	15	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Hart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	23	45%	-0.04	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.05	-0.00	8	83%	0.26	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.05
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	14	62%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.07	-0.04	15	51%	0.17	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.02	8	63%	0.12	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.05	-0.04	7	31%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	31.3	15.8	24.2	1.7	34.4	135.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.3%

HOU +20.9%

HOU +1.6%

LAC -6.4%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.5	103.2	109.6	106.4
season	15.7	16.3		100.7	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	15.1	15.9	19.4	15.6
HOU	14.2	15.5	14.8	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	15	17	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-13	19	14.1	15.9	-1.87	18.0	14.5	3.45
Eric Gordon	63	65	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-10	13	14.4	18.2	-3.74	14.7	16.2	-1.45
Mardy Collins	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-8	9	18.3	15.4	2.87	14.1	15.3	-1.11
Brian Skinner	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	12.5	15.9	-3.35	13.2	15.3	-2.14
Jason Hart	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	16.3	15.5	0.82	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Paul Davis	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	18.0	15.1	2.89	17.7	14.6	3.10
Marcus Camby	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-4	1	15.4	16.7	-1.35	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Baron Davis	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	16.1	14.4	1.68	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Zach Randolph	85	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	15.7	15.2	0.42	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Mike Taylor	41	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	4	-15	16.4	15.0	1.44	16.2	14.4	1.82
Al Thornton	72	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	7	-21	15.6	15.7	-0.10	14.3	18.0	-3.69

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	79	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	14.9	16.7	-1.86	16.0	13.5	2.51
Carl Landry	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	16.4	14.1	2.30	16.9	14.6	2.28
Aaron Brooks	37	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	16.0	14.6	1.41	16.3	15.2	1.14
Shane Battier	59	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	0	7	15.4	14.7	0.73	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Yao Ming	60	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	2	3	14.6	16.2	-1.58	16.1	14.8	1.25
Metta World Peace	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	4	-1	14.5	17.1	-2.62	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Charles Hayes	35	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	4	-1	16.1	14.6	1.50	16.1	15.4	0.75
Luis Scola	48	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.33	13.9	17.4	-3.52
Luther Head	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	11	-15	15.2	15.1	0.06	14.9	16.2	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 94, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1	94.1%
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.7%
TOR 93, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%