NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	94		Excitement	7.1 [406]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +27.9%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.1 [1212]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -14.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lee Mayberry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	70%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Lawrence Moten	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	14	47%	-0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	18	54%	0.05	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.11	-0.00	9	95%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	14	58%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	47%	0.00	3	-0.13	10	60%	-0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	15	42%	-0.11	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	26.1	15.7	25.1	2.5	29.2	126.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.6%

VAN -7.9%

HOU +0.7%

HOU +13.0%

HOU +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.6	105.6	112.1	104.4
season	16.3	15.5		97.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		103.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.8	16.7	16.8	20.4	17.3
HOU	14.8	14.6	12.0	18.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	33	33	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-18	28	15.3	18.5	-3.19	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Lee Mayberry	57	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	16.5	18.6	-2.05	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Lawrence Moten	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-8	8	18.8	15.9	2.85	15.5	14.1	1.31
Pete Chilcutt	22	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	18.5	16.9	1.56	16.5	14.1	2.38
Chris Robinson	47	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	0	-8	15.9	18.8	-2.85	14.1	15.5	-1.31
Greg Anthony	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	18.6	16.5	2.05	15.6	14.3	1.31
Bryant Reeves	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-4	0	17.1	18.4	-1.29	14.9	13.8	1.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	1	-10	17.2	18.0	-0.78	14.0	22.5	-8.50
Roy Rogers	54	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	7	-22	18.4	15.6	2.82	15.3	13.8	1.51

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	2	4	14.9	14.1	0.85	17.1	18.1	-1.03
Clyde Drexler	74	72	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	1	6	13.2	21.5	-8.27	16.9	18.8	-1.83
Mario Elie	68	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	2	4	14.5	15.6	-1.09	16.2	20.1	-3.89
Matt Maloney	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	3	2	14.1	15.7	-1.56	16.9	17.8	-0.88
Kevin Willis	48	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	2	4	15.3	14.1	1.24	17.9	16.7	1.18
Hakeem Olajuwon	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	14.1	16.0	-1.95	17.1	17.7	-0.63
Eddie Johnson	29	29	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	5	-2	17.9	13.3	4.62	20.7	15.6	5.11
Sedale Threatt	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	9	-10	16.5	13.7	2.77	17.3	17.3	-0.01
Randy Livingston	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	15.9	14.5	1.42	18.1	17.1	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.1%
MIA 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.6%
ATL 96, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%