NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	126		Excitement	8.7 [178]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (POR): +20.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	121		Comeback	3.0 [143]		LVP	Semaj Christon (OKC): -9.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.2	0.21	-0.00	0.01	10	96%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.05,0.13	0.01	0.09	-0.04	20	48%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Meyers Leonard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	86%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.00	12	53%	0.29	4	-0.24	8	87%	0.04
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shabazz Napier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.08	-0.04	0.04	17	56%	0.06	1	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.09	0.02	9	80%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.04	0.04	0.24	-0.15	0.05	39	62%	0.13	4	-0.09	16	81%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	57%	0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	85%	0.10	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	29.4	15.4	28.8	1.7	40.6	143.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +61.2%

OKC -3.9%

OKC -8.8%

OKC -3.9%

POR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	14.8	127.3	122.2	107.7
season	14.9	14.0		108.6	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.5		106.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	14.6	15.4	16.4	15.4
OKC	14.3	13.6	15.9	11.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	59	60	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-10	25	14.8	16.2	-1.37	13.9	13.3	0.62
Meyers Leonard	40	38	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.06	24	-19	43	14.2	16.2	-1.90	15.8	12.4	3.42
CJ McCollum	74	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	-2	9	15.6	14.7	0.94	13.8	13.4	0.38
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-4	13	15.0	16.0	-1.01	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Shabazz Napier	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-2	9	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.8	13.3	1.55
Damian Lillard	75	74	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	9	-13	15.7	14.3	1.39	13.0	15.8	-2.75
Noah Vonleh	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	7	-9	16.0	14.9	1.13	15.0	12.7	2.29
Maurice Harkless	61	58	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	15	-25	15.3	15.6	-0.32	13.7	13.7	-0.04
Jusuf Nurkic	52	53	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.37	-21	26	-47	16.2	14.5	1.66	12.0	15.7	-3.76

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	53	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-15	25	13.0	14.5	-1.52	15.9	14.9	1.03
Doug McDermott	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-5	5	13.2	13.9	-0.76	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Steven Adams	56	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	13.5	14.0	-0.56	16.0	14.4	1.61
Taj Gibson	51	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-9	13	12.4	15.1	-2.63	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Norris Cole	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	2	-9	16.9	13.2	3.70	12.6	15.8	-3.19
Russell Westbrook	74	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-12	19	12.8	16.5	-3.76	15.9	13.8	2.03
Domantas Sabonis	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-6	7	15.0	12.8	2.13	16.6	14.5	2.12
Semaj Christon	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	14.9	13.4	1.47	16.9	15.0	1.91
Andre Roberson	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-4	3	13.3	15.0	-1.70	16.2	13.4	2.78
Alex Abrines	26	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	8	-21	16.1	12.8	3.27	12.5	16.5	-3.97
Enes Kanter	39	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	2	-9	13.8	13.6	0.23	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Jerami Grant	22	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	13	-31	16.0	13.0	3.01	14.0	15.8	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.24,0.21,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.69,0	91.3%
ORL 111, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.16,0	91.3%
GSW 109, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.36,0.55,0.58,0	91.0%