inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 111 Excitement8.1 [260] MVPJonathon Simmons (ORL): +26.0%
Miami Heat 109 Comeback3.1 [114] LVPGoran Dragic (MIA): -24.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.260.090.16-0.01976%0.352-0.09367%-0.01
D.J. Augustin0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.12-0.010.011167%0.1100.00250%-0.01
Mario Hezonja0.090,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.090.13-0.020.031467%0.0900.002100%0.01
Bismack Biyombo0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.00564%0.091-0.01475%-0.00
Wes Iwundu0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02960%0.164-0.172100%0.01
Evan Fournier-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.010.03-0.05-0.011350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01460%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Arron Afflalo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Khem Birch-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12-0.00-0.100.02850%-0.111-0.024100%0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.011353%0.1000.00875%-0.02
Justise Winslow0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.060.060.09-0.07-0.031067%0.131-0.074100%0.02
Josh Richardson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.020.020.07-0.05-0.011365%0.062-0.04580%0.02
Kelly Olynyk00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00546%0.041-0.04367%-0.00
Jordan Mickey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.040.041651%-0.011-0.04560%-0.03
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00922%-0.1000.005100%0.03
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.12-0.011441%-0.132-0.0310%-0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25-0.25-0.09-0.17-0.011343%0.014-0.26450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.02.632.314.426.62.536.2143.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +68.7%
MIA -11.2%
MIA -20.7%
ORL +15.5%
MIA -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game14.115.214.7112.1111.2107.5
season14.615.1104.2105.4
opponent14.614.5105.8109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.611.713.716.714.1
MIA13.715.516.315.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Hezonja63640.410.090.320.4102-214.014.2-0.1615.414.60.82
Wes Iwundu37370.350.140.210.0610-81813.214.6-1.3515.714.80.88
Bismack Biyombo49490.340.160.170.48-57-1213.614.6-0.9915.215.10.10
Elfrid Payton51520.270.230.030.53-911-2013.614.6-1.0415.115.2-0.16
Shelvin Mack54520.260.240.020.115-3814.214.00.2116.513.62.91
D.J. Augustin48460.230.27-0.03-0.0911-92014.613.61.0415.215.10.16
Arron Afflalo34320.230.27-0.030.066-41014.114.10.0915.115.2-0.13
Jonathon Simmons56560.150.35-0.210.35-79-1614.513.60.8614.116.5-2.44
Evan Fournier53530.100.40-0.300.33-810-1814.213.90.2914.216.2-1.98
Marreese Speights33340.090.41-0.320.003-1415.713.32.4515.415.00.40
Khem Birch17150.070.43-0.35-0.044-2612.414.5-2.1014.415.3-0.89

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow57570.19-0.690.88-0.4622-244613.118.0-4.8915.312.42.89
Kelly Olynyk15150.14-0.640.78-0.108-101811.515.8-4.2715.213.91.31
Goran Dragic72740.03-0.530.56-0.4717-193614.317.5-3.1915.011.43.60
Hassan Whiteside5149-0.11-0.390.29-0.08-1-1014.116.3-2.1213.414.7-1.27
Jordan Mickey1312-0.12-0.380.270.03-53-814.015.3-1.3311.914.4-2.47
Josh Richardson7778-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.435-71214.916.1-1.2014.014.5-0.55
James Johnson3436-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-1210-2218.313.54.8113.314.5-1.23
Bam Adebayo5152-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.20-75-1216.114.12.0114.413.70.70
Tyler Johnson6463-0.780.28-1.06-0.16-2119-4016.812.04.7813.215.7-2.56
Wayne Ellington5659-0.820.32-1.14-0.35-1614-3016.213.82.3513.814.5-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 126, OKC 1210.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.24,0.21,0.43,0.42,091.3%
NYK 89, VAN 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,091.1%
IND 109, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.04,091.1%