NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	7.4 [306]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +31.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	2.8 [195]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.04,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.18	0.02	14	58%	0.28	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	8	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	20	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	12	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.19	-0.00	7	89%	0.36	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	21	47%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	17	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	10	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	12	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	3	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	27.3	15.8	27.3	1.7	32.4	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.7%

IND +0.2%

IND +15.0%

PHI -3.8%

PHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.3	113.5	104.3	106.0
season	14.2	15.1		102.2	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.1		108.4	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	13.1	14.5	17.3	14.5
PHI	14.0	17.0	15.5	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	14.7	13.9	0.72	16.3	13.1	3.19
Dahntay Jones	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-1	13	15.7	13.3	2.44	15.9	15.6	0.32
Brandon Rush	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Roy Hibbert	38	35	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	7	-3	13.9	15.0	-1.07	17.1	15.0	2.07
A.J. Price	31	29	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.20	2	9	-7	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Earl Watson	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	2	7	14.4	14.9	-0.49	15.9	15.5	0.44
Mike Dunleavy	46	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	14.5	14.5	0.00	16.6	15.1	1.51
Troy Murphy	58	59	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	4	3	15.0	13.9	1.07	15.0	17.1	-2.07
Luther Head	39	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	20	-29	13.8	15.1	-1.26	14.4	16.7	-2.31

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-13	15	13.9	16.2	-2.25	13.6	14.8	-1.15
Jrue Holiday	34	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-11	11	15.9	15.7	0.20	12.3	15.9	-3.53
Allen Iverson	67	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-13	15	15.6	16.3	-0.66	14.7	14.3	0.39
Rodney Carney	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-3	-5	16.3	15.7	0.55	14.2	14.6	-0.38
Samuel Dalembert	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	15.4	16.2	-0.83	13.2	15.7	-2.43
Andre Iguodala	83	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-8	5	15.7	16.3	-0.55	14.6	14.2	0.38
Elton Brand	68	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	16.4	14.2	2.20	14.5	14.6	-0.05
Willie Green	34	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	7	-25	15.6	15.9	-0.22	15.1	14.2	0.95
Lou Williams	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-5	-1	16.0	15.5	0.57	15.5	13.4	2.13
Thaddeus Young	58	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	2	-15	15.9	15.5	0.42	15.8	12.4	3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	93.2%
SAS 75, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	92.9%
DEN 88, CHA 80	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.03,0,0	92.2%