inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 88 Excitement6.1 [605] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +12.2%
Charlotte Bobcats 80 Comeback2.8 [247] LVPD.J. Augustin (CHA): -22.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.120.050.05-0.021252%0.1200.007100%0.05
Carmelo Anthony0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.05-0.001957%0.152-0.05667%-0.02
Renaldo Balkman0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.02-0.01968%0.081-0.02475%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.03-0.01671%0.083-0.092100%0.01
Cheikh Samb-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00329%-0.011-0.0310%-0.02
Nene-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.000.010.07771%0.034-0.09367%-0.01
J.R. Smith-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03719%-0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Linas Kleiza-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.01729%-0.051-0.03333%-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.13-0.030.041668%0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001159%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Nazr Mohammed00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean May0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.020.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.030.01267%0.022-0.072100%0.01
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.01-0.100.001157%0.033-0.12667%-0.01
Emeka Okafor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01520%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.021136%-0.052-0.04333%-0.02
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.17-0.08-0.02923%-0.124-0.11475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.91.830.215.528.91.631.6136.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +24.7%
DEN +12.5%
DEN +1.0%
DEN +15.0%
CHA -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game14.517.015.596.787.0106.4
season14.416.5109.5103.0
opponent15.615.7104.5105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.913.212.715.614.5
CHA16.617.516.617.117.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony71720.72-0.220.930.2516-82414.514.40.0616.717.8-1.13
Anthony Carter55550.66-0.160.820.2813-51813.216.5-3.2716.118.2-2.09
Chauncey Billups67650.490.010.480.229-11014.913.51.4117.216.40.85
Renaldo Balkman54550.320.180.140.3208-815.013.81.1516.617.6-1.00
Linas Kleiza67680.310.190.110.0780813.916.3-2.4417.316.01.37
Nene72720.180.32-0.150.21-19-1014.514.30.2317.415.32.07
Dahntay Jones27280.170.33-0.17-0.0162415.314.11.1919.016.12.92
Cheikh Samb99-0.010.51-0.52-0.0417-616.014.31.6715.117.2-2.06
J.R. Smith3336-0.330.83-1.150.03-1220-3215.214.11.1316.217.4-1.22

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alexis Ajinca990.01-0.510.520.04-1-7615.117.2-2.0616.014.31.67
Shannon Brown1112-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-8810.817.8-6.988.315.4-7.10
Adam Morrison5355-0.03-0.470.45-0.3511-193016.517.5-0.9914.614.30.27
Nazr Mohammed1516-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-4016.117.1-1.0813.014.8-1.81
Sean May44-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-6419.216.92.3920.514.26.28
Emeka Okafor5452-0.10-0.400.30-0.286-142018.315.13.2615.513.12.44
Jason Richardson5658-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-7618.314.93.4115.412.82.58
Jared Dudley6362-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-3-217.515.91.6114.314.9-0.64
D.J. Augustin5250-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.21-4-4015.618.8-3.2012.916.5-3.58
Raymond Felton4646-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.07-91-1017.916.01.8916.212.83.40
Gerald Wallace7066-0.520.02-0.53-0.10-146-2016.917.3-0.4014.614.30.24
Matt Carroll2725-0.570.07-0.63-0.07-179-2615.717.5-1.7412.815.1-2.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 107, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.02,0,092.5%
IND 109, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.04,092.2%
MIL 90, CLE 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.14,0.07,0,0,092.2%