NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	10.3 [69]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): +31.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	2.3 [193]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -49.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.32,0.31	0.03	0.25	-0.03	11	50%	0.31	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
David Lee	0.13	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.01	0.09	-0.05	13	67%	0.24	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.13	-0.05	-0.11	-0.03	20	48%	0.15	4	-0.27	6	67%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.34,-0.49	-0.14	-0.36	-0.02	16	44%	-0.21	7	-0.29	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.10	0.01	11	92%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.04	5	61%	0.15	7	-0.14	8	37%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.00	13	53%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.2,0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	23	54%	0.17	6	-0.25	6	50%	-0.09
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.31	-0.31	-0.09	-0.22	-0.01	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.23	6	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.3	3.4	38.9	17.8	28.3	3.0	49.3	174.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.6%

GSW +0.7%

GSW +47.2%

LAC -29.4%

LAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	15.1	106.9	104.0	105.2
season	14.2	14.3		105.9	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	15.3	14.0	17.6	15.0
LAC	12.4	13.0	16.0	12.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	50	49	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.30	17	-13	30	13.7	16.2	-2.49	12.9	13.8	-0.93
Stephen Curry	94	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	15.2	12.4	2.82	13.4	12.9	0.56
Klay Thompson	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	0	4	15.6	11.6	4.06	13.6	12.6	0.97
Harrison Barnes	53	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-2	8	13.5	16.5	-2.96	12.5	14.4	-1.89
Steve Blake	18	20	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	2	0	11.2	15.8	-4.55	11.4	13.9	-2.43
David Lee	76	72	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	1	2	15.1	14.7	0.32	13.9	12.2	1.62
Marreese Speights	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	0	4	14.8	15.0	-0.25	13.2	13.5	-0.27
Jordan Crawford	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	12.6	15.3	-2.62	13.5	13.4	0.12
Hilton Armstrong	4	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	5	-6	16.0	14.9	1.07	13.2	13.4	-0.21
Jermaine O'Neal	53	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.19	-11	15	-26	16.6	13.2	3.32	13.8	13.1	0.70
Andre Iguodala	37	38	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	15	-26	16.7	14.0	2.72	14.9	12.5	2.49

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	37	39	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.10	9	-13	22	14.6	12.7	1.89	15.8	14.4	1.42
Ryan Hollins	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	0.0	13.4	-13.40	7.0	15.0	-8.05
Chris Paul	76	78	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-13	22	13.0	14.5	-1.44	15.6	13.0	2.52
Hedo Turkoglu	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.4	13.2	2.25	14.1	15.1	-0.94
Glen Davis	47	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	13.1	13.7	-0.62	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Matt Barnes	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-3	2	12.7	14.1	-1.34	14.6	15.3	-0.77
Danny Granger	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	3	-10	13.4	13.4	-0.04	14.0	15.3	-1.37
DeAndre Jordan	94	97	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-3	2	13.5	12.0	1.50	14.8	18.0	-3.19
JJ Redick	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-6	8	13.6	13.1	0.45	15.2	14.6	0.64
Darren Collison	54	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	5	-14	13.4	13.4	-0.02	15.3	14.6	0.73
Jamal Crawford	50	49	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.24	-15	11	-26	13.3	13.5	-0.23	14.3	15.6	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.36,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.69,0	93.1%
TOR 87, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.22,0.23,0.42,0	91.1%
POR 126, OKC 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.24,0.21,0.43,0.42,0	91.0%