NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	7.2 [377]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +34.5%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	2.4 [348]		LVP	Tyronn Lue (ORL): -37.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.12	-0.01	0.13	0.00	11	60%	0.20	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.03	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	48%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.38,-0.26	-0.18	-0.11	-0.02	18	43%	0.08	5	-0.34	11	91%	0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.35	0.35	0.05	0.30	0.01	22	57%	0.38	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.13
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	59%	0.10	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	7	55%	0.02	2	-0.18	6	83%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.37	-0.37	-0.17	-0.22	-0.02	10	20%	-0.27	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.7	16.8	34.0	2.5	39.3	143.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.8%

ORL -10.6%

TOR +24.1%

ORL -1.0%

TOR +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.5	15.7	93.5	93.5	100.5
season	16.8	15.7		94.8	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.5	15.0	16.8	17.0	16.6
ORL	14.5	15.6	13.2	14.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	73	71	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-8	17	16.8	15.7	1.09	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Morris Peterson	49	49	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	-2	5	16.9	16.2	0.71	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Vince Carter	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	16.3	20.1	-3.83	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Antonio Davis	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	4	-7	17.4	13.9	3.55	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Chris Bosh	80	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	1	-1	16.2	19.3	-3.15	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Jerome Williams	35	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	-4	9	15.5	17.3	-1.74	16.0	13.7	2.34
Michael Curry	13	14	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	-1	3	15.5	16.8	-1.24	16.4	14.2	2.25
Lamond Murray	37	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	5	-9	17.6	15.9	1.69	13.9	14.9	-1.09
Milt Palacio	20	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	9	-17	15.7	16.8	-1.09	15.2	14.3	0.87

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	66	65	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.46	20	-21	41	13.7	16.7	-2.97	16.9	16.0	0.91
Steven Hunter	29	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-4	7	14.3	14.6	-0.36	17.1	16.4	0.69
Keith Bogans	3	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-2	3	22.0	14.3	7.73	21.0	16.5	4.49
Zaza Pachulia	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	16.2	14.2	1.99	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Andrew DeClercq	26	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	4	-9	14.7	14.4	0.29	16.1	16.8	-0.66
Gordan Giricek	64	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-5	9	15.0	13.5	1.42	17.1	15.4	1.68
Donnell Harvey	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-3	5	14.3	14.7	-0.42	15.5	17.9	-2.34
Drew Gooden	23	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	9	-19	16.0	14.0	2.03	14.7	17.2	-2.46
Juwan Howard	76	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.48	4	-5	9	13.9	17.5	-3.61	17.0	14.5	2.47
Tracy McGrady	84	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.1	18.9	-4.77	17.0	12.7	4.21
Rod Strickland	27	27	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.10	-19	18	-37	16.1	13.9	2.20	16.5	16.6	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.22,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.69,0	93.1%
CHH 77, IND 66	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0,0,0	91.8%
DAL 117, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0	91.5%