NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	77		Excitement	5.5 [688]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +2.0%
Indiana Pacers	66		Comeback	1.6 [436]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -23.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	9	23%	-0.11	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	24	37%	-0.01	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	16	34%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	17	32%	-0.05	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	23.7	15.8	24.3	2.3	26.4	115.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +16.2%

CHH +4.0%

CHH +30.2%

IND -3.5%

CHH +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.5	85.6	73.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.9		99.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.1	11.8	16.8	20.0	15.4
IND	17.2	17.0	16.7	15.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	54	53	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-10	31	15.7	15.1	0.58	16.8	16.3	0.50
Jamal Mashburn	84	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	15.5	14.7	0.82	16.2	21.0	-4.81
Eldridge Recasner	19	18	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	3	5	13.8	15.9	-2.08	20.2	15.7	4.57
David Wesley	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	5	1	15.4	15.5	-0.03	16.0	18.3	-2.26
P.J. Brown	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	7	-3	15.5	15.1	0.44	16.3	17.4	-1.12
Eddie Robinson	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	6	-1	15.5	15.4	0.03	18.3	16.0	2.26
Baron Davis	71	72	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	8	-5	15.9	13.8	2.08	15.7	20.2	-4.57
Jamaal Magloire	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	9	-7	11.8	15.7	-3.86	19.3	16.4	2.96
Tim James	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	11	-11	14.7	15.5	-0.82	21.0	16.2	4.81
Elden Campbell	51	52	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	16	-21	15.5	15.4	0.09	16.4	16.8	-0.43

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-15	19	16.5	16.6	-0.10	15.5	15.4	0.15
Jonathan Bender	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-11	11	21.0	16.2	4.81	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Bruno Sundov	10	10	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.00	0	-11	11	19.2	16.2	2.96	12.5	15.8	-3.30
Terry Mills	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-10	9	18.0	16.4	1.55	10.3	15.8	-5.46
Reggie Miller	74	75	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-11	11	15.8	20.2	-4.40	15.5	15.0	0.52
Jermaine O'Neal	59	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-7	3	15.7	18.1	-2.38	16.3	13.7	2.60
Al Harrington	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-7	3	15.7	18.6	-2.89	16.3	13.3	3.05
Austin Croshere	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	17.2	16.1	1.14	16.9	14.2	2.65
Jalen Rose	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	16.1	17.9	-1.78	15.6	14.8	0.87
Travis Best	41	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	3	-17	18.1	15.3	2.77	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Derrick McKey	9	9	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	19.6	16.2	3.32	15.2	15.5	-0.23
Jeff Foster	40	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	3	-17	16.8	16.3	0.51	13.3	17.1	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 117, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.7%
PHX 99, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIA 107, MEM 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%