NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	124		Excitement	2.5 [1236]		MVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): +13.0%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.8 [1107]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -6.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.22	0.01	0.10	11	88%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	10	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	73%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	53%	0.01	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	46%	-0.00	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	19	58%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Hammons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.08	10	78%	0.03	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	7	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	7	71%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jonathan Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	29.0	15.5	30.0	2.7	28.5	134.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.6%

LAC +1.3%

DAL -2.1%

LAC +12.4%

DAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.8	125.3	104.0	107.7
season	15.0	16.2		110.8	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.3	12.8	13.9	17.8	14.1
DAL	15.3	16.6	13.3	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	8	4	14.5	13.6	0.84	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Austin Rivers	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	15	-10	14.9	13.1	1.77	13.7	16.2	-2.43
Marreese Speights	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	12	-4	15.0	13.4	1.60	14.0	15.6	-1.56
Wesley Johnson	34	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	9	2	14.3	14.0	0.29	13.2	15.6	-2.38
Raymond Felton	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	15	-10	15.1	13.2	1.83	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Chris Paul	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	5	10	13.2	15.1	-1.83	15.8	13.8	1.99
Blake Griffin	52	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	6	8	13.2	15.1	-1.83	16.0	13.5	2.52
DeAndre Jordan	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.11	12	8	4	13.4	15.0	-1.60	15.6	14.0	1.56
JJ Redick	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	5	10	13.1	14.9	-1.77	16.2	13.7	2.43
Luc Mbah a Moute	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	12	-4	13.6	14.5	-0.84	16.0	14.0	2.04
Brandon Bass	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	25	-30	17.1	13.7	3.43	14.1	15.0	-0.89

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Brussino	31	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-27	34	14.7	14.9	-0.14	17.3	12.8	4.54
AJ Hammons	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-29	38	12.7	15.0	-2.27	14.9	14.0	0.81
Salah Mejri	12	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-23	26	15.3	14.8	0.56	13.0	14.2	-1.22
Dwight Powell	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.19	-10	-10	0	14.7	14.9	-0.14	17.1	12.9	4.19
Andrew Bogut	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.27	-16	-4	-12	15.5	14.1	1.37	12.9	15.4	-2.43
Wesley Matthews	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-9	-2	14.9	14.7	0.18	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Harrison Barnes	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-9	-2	14.9	14.7	0.18	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Dorian Finney-Smith	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-12	4	13.9	15.9	-1.99	15.0	13.2	1.77
Justin Anderson	33	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-11	2	14.2	15.2	-1.03	15.8	13.2	2.58
Jonathan Gibson	55	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-7	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.37	14.4	13.8	0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	-1	-18	15.4	14.4	0.98	12.3	15.5	-3.17
Seth Curry	60	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	2	-24	15.4	14.0	1.32	13.1	15.8	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, LAL 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BKN 111, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
LAC 102, IND 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%