NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	2.7 [1229]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +13.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	72		Comeback	1.7 [939]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -8.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.04	16	62%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	11	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	72%	0.00	1	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.05
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	58%	0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	19	45%	-0.05	5	-0.03	18	72%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	3.6	35.2	17.8	24.6	3.5	28.3	143.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +33.6%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +4.6%

DAL +1.6%

DAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.4	116.1	80.0	104.5
season	16.3	15.3		108.7	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	12.7	18.8	15.7	15.7
LAL	14.2	15.6	19.1	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	70	66	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.50	39	-3	42	15.4	16.5	-1.14	16.5	13.8	2.75
DeSagana Diop	54	51	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.47	34	2	32	14.5	17.3	-2.74	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Jerry Stackhouse	25	26	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	14	8	10.8	17.4	-6.60	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Jason Terry	52	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.25	19	17	2	14.8	16.8	-1.95	14.7	17.2	-2.54
Austin Croshere	37	36	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.44	25	11	14	12.9	17.5	-4.61	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Devin Harris	51	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.44	25	11	14	16.4	14.7	1.69	16.6	14.9	1.79
Dirk Nowitzki	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	22	-8	17.2	13.8	3.37	16.2	15.3	0.81
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	28	-20	12.5	16.0	-3.46	16.4	15.8	0.62
Jose Juan Barea	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	28	-20	12.5	16.0	-3.46	16.4	15.8	0.62
Greg Buckner	36	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	42	-48	18.9	13.6	5.35	15.5	16.0	-0.45
Erick Dampier	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	41	-46	18.3	14.1	4.19	15.8	15.8	0.06
Devean George	38	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	39	-42	17.7	14.3	3.37	15.9	15.7	0.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-38	40	15.2	16.6	-1.38	17.3	13.3	4.06
Smush Parker	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-30	24	12.7	16.5	-3.72	13.6	16.1	-2.54
Shammond Williams	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.48	-22	-14	-8	16.8	15.0	1.87	17.3	14.5	2.82
Sasha Vujacic	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.52	-24	-12	-12	16.1	15.7	0.37	12.5	16.9	-4.40
Andrew Bynum	46	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.34	-18	-18	0	14.8	16.9	-2.10	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Maurice Evans	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.55	-26	-10	-16	15.9	15.7	0.11	16.3	14.7	1.57
Jordan Farmar	43	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.30	-18	-18	0	15.9	15.7	0.18	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Aaron McKie	32	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-26	16	15.1	16.2	-1.11	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Kwame Brown	44	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-18	0	16.9	14.8	2.10	16.2	15.1	1.11
Kobe Bryant	67	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-24	12	16.0	15.2	0.80	16.8	12.5	4.27
Ronny Turiaf	28	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.41	-28	-8	-20	17.0	15.3	1.73	12.6	17.1	-4.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 124, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAC 124, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAC 99, MEM 73	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%