inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 124 Excitement2.3 [1261] MVPChris Andersen (DEN): +8.7%
Washington Wizards 103 Comeback1.7 [989] LVPJuan Dixon (WAS): -5.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Andersen0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.00-0.01665%0.0900.00887%0.03
Kenyon Martin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01861%0.051-0.00250%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.000.061764%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0.040,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.120.000.081082%0.051-0.002100%0.00
J.R. Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01591%0.063-0.0210%-0.01
Anthony Carter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.00-0.05560%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011252%0.0300.001100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.14-0.000.11980%0.0300.002100%0.01
Renaldo Balkman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Sonny Weems0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nene-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01637%-0.011-0.024100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.000.031668%0.112-0.03683%-0.00
Mike James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.04-0.00-0.01956%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01657%0.013-0.042100%-0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.070.000.10768%-0.011-0.025100%0.00
Javaris Crittenton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.001043%-0.012-0.02367%0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04440%-0.013-0.032100%0.01
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.08-0.000.121656%-0.0400.00475%-0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02940%-0.0510.002100%-0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01529%-0.031-0.024100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.731.018.030.22.730.2141.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +29.7%
DEN +9.0%
DEN +1.9%
DEN +8.8%
DEN +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game13.816.115.5129.2106.2106.4
season14.415.9109.5103.5
opponent15.215.7111.7105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.513.015.613.013.8
WAS17.015.815.715.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenyon Martin53540.470.030.44-0.7040-195914.113.40.7017.114.82.30
J.R. Smith51530.460.040.430.23813-512.315.4-3.0915.217.2-1.99
Anthony Carter42420.440.060.37-0.061741313.913.60.2615.116.8-1.72
Chris Andersen46470.370.130.240.22516-1113.214.3-1.0415.017.1-2.04
Carmelo Anthony50510.330.170.17-0.5229-83714.213.30.8316.815.21.63
Linas Kleiza42420.190.31-0.110.37-627-3313.813.80.0015.516.5-0.93
Chauncey Billups44440.160.34-0.17-0.391921715.212.52.6717.415.02.45
Nene53530.110.39-0.28-0.361651114.313.11.1716.515.51.01
Renaldo Balkman790.000.50-0.500.12-425-2917.913.44.4214.216.3-2.04
Sonny Weems17160.000.50-0.500.23-829-3711.114.3-3.2115.116.3-1.21
Johan Petro19180.000.50-0.500.26-930-3911.814.2-2.3915.816.1-0.36
Dahntay Jones5656-0.050.55-0.590.01-223-2514.113.30.7516.415.60.89

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Songaila3940-0.03-0.470.450.00-1-201916.615.70.9515.012.82.21
Juan Dixon3535-0.20-0.300.090.24-15-6-915.016.7-1.6312.614.4-1.83
Antawn Jamison6564-0.23-0.270.030.32-19-2-1716.415.31.1314.612.12.50
Mike James6261-0.28-0.22-0.070.48-265-3116.215.90.2514.113.11.02
Dominic McGuire8282-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-11-10-116.613.33.3214.111.92.23
Javaris Crittenton6261-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-15916.715.01.6314.412.61.83
JaVale McGee4342-0.37-0.13-0.230.04-14-7-715.816.3-0.4212.115.0-2.92
Oleksiy Pecherov4746-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.14-8-13515.316.8-1.5013.014.5-1.50
Nick Young5049-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-5-161115.117.1-1.9712.814.8-2.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, CLE 760.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
POR 103, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
DAL 108, LAL 720.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%