NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	2.2 [1240]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +9.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	76		Comeback	1.5 [390]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -15.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.00	6	86%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	81%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	14	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	76%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.00	0.09	9	72%	0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	11	50%	0.05	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.12	12	81%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	11	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	0.00	17	38%	-0.09	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	31.1	16.8	25.3	2.7	25.2	129.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.9%

DET +5.7%

CLE -3.7%

DET +12.3%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	17.1	16.4	15.7	111.6	88.4	100.5
season	16.2	15.7		99.2	99.8
opponent	15.5	16.0		102.3	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.9	15.5	17.0	20.4	17.1
CLE	17.5	18.0	13.0	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	34	33	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	-2	24	18.1	16.5	1.66	17.9	15.4	2.49
Corliss Williamson	32	30	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	6	8	17.0	17.2	-0.19	16.5	16.3	0.15
Mehmet Okur	38	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	6	8	19.3	15.4	3.89	16.6	16.2	0.39
Richard Hamilton	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.18	19	1	18	16.1	18.9	-2.80	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Chauncey Billups	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	3	14	15.7	18.9	-3.21	16.6	16.1	0.46
Ben Wallace	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	8	4	15.3	20.3	-5.01	16.7	15.8	0.88
Lindsey Hunter	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	17	-14	18.9	15.7	3.21	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Mike James	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	19	-18	18.9	16.1	2.80	16.6	16.3	0.30
Tayshaun Prince	54	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	14	-8	17.2	17.0	0.19	16.3	16.5	-0.15
Darko Milicic	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	21.2	16.5	4.66	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Darvin Ham	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	18.8	17.0	1.85	11.5	16.7	-5.24
Rasheed Wallace	28	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	24	-28	14.5	18.4	-3.83	15.5	16.8	-1.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	14.5	16.7	-2.20	21.2	16.5	4.66
Ira Newble	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-16	12	19.5	16.1	3.36	12.2	17.5	-5.32
DeSagana Diop	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-17	14	16.7	16.3	0.41	20.1	15.9	4.23
Lee Nailon	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-14	8	17.0	16.2	0.77	20.1	16.2	3.94
Eric Williams	58	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-16	12	15.8	17.6	-1.78	16.7	17.9	-1.23
Carlos Boozer	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-13	6	16.1	17.4	-1.34	17.7	15.1	2.63
Kevin Ollie	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-16	12	16.8	15.7	1.10	17.5	16.5	1.02
Dajuan Wagner	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-3	-14	16.1	16.6	-0.51	16.9	17.3	-0.40
Tony Battie	20	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	0	-20	17.7	16.0	1.80	14.8	17.9	-3.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	-3	-14	16.2	17.0	-0.89	16.1	20.0	-3.94
LeBron James	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	1	-22	16.6	15.7	0.82	16.1	20.9	-4.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 124, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
GSW 130, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
ATL 108, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%