NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	2.4 [1271]		MVP	John Jenkins (ATL): +8.4%
Orlando Magic	76		Comeback	1.5 [813]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): -7.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Jenkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	16	68%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.17	-0.00	0.14	20	64%	0.03	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.03
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	6	25%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.2	15.5	22.4	2.5	24.6	121.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.7%

ATL +2.8%

ATL +19.4%

ATL +9.6%

ORL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.4	113.7	80.9	104.1
season	15.1	15.5		102.6	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	16.6	13.6	15.4	15.2
ORL	14.5	17.7	15.2	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	44	45	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.33	26	6	20	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.8	14.8	1.07
Zaza Pachulia	34	35	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.19	20	12	8	15.5	15.1	0.41	15.5	15.1	0.40
Al Horford	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.50	30	2	28	15.6	14.4	1.20	16.1	13.7	2.42
Josh Smith	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.53	30	2	28	14.3	16.7	-2.38	15.7	14.6	1.11
Devin Harris	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.38	24	8	16	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.9	14.6	1.28
John Jenkins	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	22	-12	14.8	15.6	-0.76	14.6	16.0	-1.41
DeShawn Stevenson	18	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	24	-16	16.1	15.0	1.04	17.2	14.8	2.40
Jeff Teague	57	57	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.44	19	13	6	14.4	16.4	-1.93	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Anthony Tolliver	52	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.20	8	24	-16	15.3	15.1	0.13	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Mike Scott	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	37	-42	15.6	15.1	0.56	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Johan Petro	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	37	-42	17.0	15.0	2.05	12.7	15.6	-2.88
Anthony Morrow	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	37	-42	17.0	15.0	2.05	12.7	15.6	-2.88

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	35	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-31	30	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Josh McRoberts	13	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-32	32	15.2	15.3	-0.13	13.7	15.5	-1.83
DeQuan Jones	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-25	18	14.1	16.1	-2.07	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Maurice Harkless	40	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.34	-17	-15	-2	15.5	15.1	0.41	15.5	15.0	0.48
Andrew Nicholson	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-21	10	14.7	16.0	-1.28	15.3	15.1	0.14
Kyle O'Quinn	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-23	14	14.3	16.2	-1.84	14.8	15.6	-0.74
E'Twaun Moore	44	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-20	8	14.6	15.9	-1.31	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Gustavo Ayon	12	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	-20	8	17.0	15.0	1.99	16.6	15.0	1.61
Jameer Nelson	50	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	-12	-8	15.9	14.6	1.31	15.3	15.0	0.29
Nikola Vucevic	48	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.37	-23	-9	-14	16.2	14.3	1.84	15.6	14.8	0.74
Arron Afflalo	52	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.36	-24	-8	-16	16.1	14.2	1.90	15.4	14.9	0.54
JJ Redick	34	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.31	-24	-8	-16	16.6	14.5	2.12	15.5	15.1	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 134, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 130, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DEN 119, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%