NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	134		Excitement	2.5 [1249]		MVP	Dwight Howard (WAS): +13.7%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	2.0 [401]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -8.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	11	88%	0.13	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Steven Adams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	16	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.03	2	90%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.03	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.12	12	68%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	8	83%	0.14	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.10	16	77%	0.08	5	-0.08	3	100%	-0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	17	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	13	68%	0.03	7	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	31.3	15.3	30.4	2.6	26.2	132.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +23.0%

OKC +1.2%

OKC +4.8%

OKC +19.6%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	12.8	14.4	14.3	125.2	105.7	109.3
season	12.9	13.8		108.9	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.9		112.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.0	12.3	13.5	13.6	12.8
WAS	13.8	14.4	14.7	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.40	27	-4	31	12.9	12.8	0.09	14.6	14.1	0.53
Dennis Schroder	57	58	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	9	5	14.0	11.5	2.44	15.0	13.6	1.43
Patrick Patterson	36	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.27	19	4	15	13.6	12.4	1.19	14.8	14.1	0.75
Paul George	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	9	5	12.0	14.2	-2.24	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Nerlens Noel	38	36	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	16	-9	13.1	12.7	0.36	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Hamidou Diallo	41	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	15	-7	14.0	12.1	1.99	14.5	14.3	0.26
Jerami Grant	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	10	3	12.6	13.4	-0.75	14.7	13.5	1.17
Russell Westbrook	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.08	10	13	-3	12.3	13.5	-1.27	14.4	14.3	0.17
Steven Adams	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.14	12	11	1	12.4	13.3	-0.92	14.4	14.3	0.12
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	7	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	11.7	12.9	-1.19	9.5	14.6	-5.05
Abdel Nader	7	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	11.7	12.9	-1.19	9.5	14.6	-5.05
Terrance Ferguson	41	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	26	-29	12.6	13.0	-0.34	13.5	14.8	-1.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	35	35	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-30	37	14.1	14.5	-0.33	13.3	12.6	0.69
Troy Brown Jr.	19	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	14.6	14.3	0.33	14.1	12.5	1.58
Jason Smith	20	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	13.9	14.5	-0.51	13.5	12.6	0.91
Dwight Howard	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-11	-1	14.4	14.3	0.12	12.6	13.1	-0.48
Markieff Morris	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-14	5	14.4	14.2	0.19	12.5	13.3	-0.84
Bradley Beal	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-7	-9	14.3	14.6	-0.29	12.3	13.9	-1.69
John Wall	75	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-7	-9	14.5	14.1	0.41	12.5	13.6	-1.07
Ian Mahinmi	12	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-11	-1	14.3	14.4	-0.03	13.0	12.8	0.20
Tomas Satoransky	30	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-16	9	14.1	14.5	-0.41	13.6	12.5	1.07
Austin Rivers	44	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-9	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.11	13.5	12.3	1.27
Jeff Green	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-7	-9	14.5	14.3	0.22	12.7	12.9	-0.14
Kelly Oubre Jr.	70	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.36	-30	7	-37	14.5	14.1	0.33	12.6	13.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 108, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAC 102, IND 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHX 118, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%