NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	2.2 [1281]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +7.7%
Indiana Pacers	68		Comeback	1.8 [341]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -13.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.07	9	86%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	6	100%	0.07	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	15	54%	-0.01	5	-0.08	5	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	16	49%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	-0.00	-0.06	10	31%	-0.06	4	-0.07	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	31.2	16.3	25.8	1.8	26.6	126.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.2%

LAC +10.0%

LAC +12.6%

IND -0.3%

IND -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	16.5	15.5	115.9	78.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.8		103.0	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	16.1	16.0	18.7	16.5
IND	17.5	15.2	16.0	17.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	51	49	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.61	40	-6	46	15.1	18.3	-3.13	16.8	16.0	0.86
Shaun Livingston	47	47	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.48	35	-1	36	14.9	18.2	-3.30	16.3	16.7	-0.44
Bobby Simmons	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.39	29	5	24	15.9	17.9	-2.03	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Marko Jaric	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.29	20	14	6	16.9	15.9	0.97	16.7	16.2	0.51
Elton Brand	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.29	20	14	6	17.2	15.3	1.85	17.2	15.3	1.96
Corey Maggette	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.23	13	21	-8	15.5	17.9	-2.42	17.0	15.6	1.42
Chris Wilcox	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	33	-32	16.1	16.7	-0.61	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Quinton Ross	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	29	-24	17.2	16.1	1.11	16.7	16.4	0.30
Zeljko Rebraca	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.16	6	28	-22	16.8	16.3	0.44	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Lionel Chalmers	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	35	-36	19.5	15.7	3.74	15.7	16.6	-0.87
Mamadou N'diaye	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	33	-32	21.5	15.8	5.69	14.4	16.7	-2.33
Rick Brunson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	33	-32	21.5	15.8	5.69	14.3	16.7	-2.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Edwards	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-23	12	16.6	16.4	0.17	17.2	16.2	0.99
David Harrison	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.46	-22	-12	-10	17.3	15.3	1.97	17.5	15.1	2.37
James Jones	34	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.18	-13	-21	8	15.9	16.8	-0.90	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Jermaine O'Neal	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-24	14	16.5	16.4	0.11	16.3	16.6	-0.24
Jamaal Tinsley	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.30	-18	-16	-2	16.9	15.8	1.06	16.6	16.2	0.43
Eddie Gill	41	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.31	-21	-13	-8	15.1	17.7	-2.58	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Fred Jones	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.35	-23	-11	-12	17.6	13.5	4.14	16.3	16.8	-0.52
Austin Croshere	50	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.30	-25	-9	-16	15.5	17.8	-2.35	15.5	17.7	-2.15
Stephen Jackson	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	-7	-20	16.2	17.6	-1.41	16.7	15.5	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 118, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
OKC 134, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHA 110, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%