inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 119 Excitement2.5 [1236] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +16.3%
Orlando Magic 100 Comeback1.6 [540] LVPElfrid Payton (ORL): -10.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.160,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.300.000.142175%0.171-0.011191%0.02
Jameer Nelson0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.02-0.02883%0.162-0.032100%0.00
Will Barton0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.030.01-0.091042%0.072-0.01683%0.01
JJ Hickson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.01-0.051052%0.0620.001100%0.00
Erick Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.03743%0.0300.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01761%0.021-0.00425%-0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.01939%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.031239%-0.071-0.01475%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.04869%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.051042%0.0210.004100%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01962%0.022-0.00333%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.06-0.000.051467%0.063-0.052100%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00367%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.031562%0.024-0.024100%0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.000.03844%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.03430%0.012-0.04250%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.140.00-0.04933%-0.025-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.630.615.729.12.426.6133.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +22.4%
DEN +10.2%
DEN +6.1%
DEN +11.2%
ORL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game14.514.215.1117.8100.0104.2
season14.614.9103.4100.4
opponent15.315.3105.9106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.714.412.416.814.5
ORL13.614.415.413.214.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton51510.480.020.460.16118315.413.61.7913.714.6-0.87
Jameer Nelson33340.460.040.41-0.101901914.714.40.3114.913.81.03
JJ Hickson35340.440.060.390.12118315.613.91.7515.013.71.26
Erick Green40410.360.140.210.24415-1115.713.72.0114.014.3-0.37
Darrell Arthur12130.310.190.11-0.131541112.414.8-2.3518.113.64.49
Danilo Gallinari73710.190.31-0.11-0.251541114.015.6-1.6013.715.4-1.70
Ty Lawson58570.140.36-0.21-0.27145913.615.7-2.1514.513.70.75
Jusuf Nurkic57570.100.40-0.30-0.22118313.515.8-2.3613.614.9-1.29
Wilson Chandler53520.020.48-0.46-0.21811-313.615.5-1.9314.613.70.93
Joffrey Lauvergne19180.000.50-0.500.29-1029-3917.713.74.0112.814.5-1.70
Gary Harris19180.000.50-0.500.29-1029-3917.713.74.0112.814.5-1.70
Kenneth Faried5554-0.000.50-0.50-0.21712-513.615.5-1.8614.214.10.15

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson46480.08-0.580.67-0.003-222514.014.3-0.2714.014.9-0.85
Victor Oladipo7373-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-191913.615.7-2.0515.511.93.59
Maurice Harkless4244-0.14-0.360.210.24-13-6-712.315.5-3.2512.915.7-2.83
Elfrid Payton7374-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-151113.416.2-2.7615.411.93.54
Aaron Gordon3433-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-10115.913.32.5915.314.11.17
Nikola Vucevic5655-0.30-0.20-0.090.23-18-1-1714.413.90.5114.914.00.85
Kyle O'Quinn3635-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-6-13715.113.71.3815.414.01.36
Luke Ridnour5052-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-7-514.613.80.7813.415.6-2.19
Ben Gordon3031-0.41-0.09-0.320.21-212-2315.413.61.8012.515.4-2.93
Willie Green6060-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-15-4-1114.513.60.8714.314.8-0.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 108, ORL 760.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
CHH 106, MIL 900.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
ATL 107, IND 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,096.5%