NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	2.6 [1236]		MVP	Mike Scott (ATL): +19.6%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.5 [319]		LVP	Pero Antic (ATL): -5.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.01	-0.03	9	94%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	10	76%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	9	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	53%	0.06	2	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	57%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	9	79%	0.01	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Pero Antic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	10	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.13	0.00	0.14	16	72%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.5	31.4	17.8	33.2	3.3	36.6	151.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.9%

ATL +8.0%

ATL +4.1%

IND -2.4%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.1	116.3	103.2	105.2
season	14.8	15.8		103.8	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		99.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	13.8	16.3	18.6	16.2
IND	16.0	19.0	11.4	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	47	48	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-5	20	16.0	16.4	-0.40	15.9	13.7	2.18
Kyle Korver	81	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.05	21	-11	32	15.9	18.0	-2.07	15.0	13.5	1.43
Mike Scott	44	44	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	-7	24	16.3	16.0	0.32	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Lou Williams	36	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	16.4	16.0	0.40	15.6	14.3	1.39
Elton Brand	18	19	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	2	6	17.0	16.0	1.03	19.3	13.7	5.65
Pero Antic	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	2	6	15.3	16.8	-1.46	15.4	14.4	0.99
Paul Millsap	76	78	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	19	-28	16.2	16.0	0.21	13.8	19.5	-5.65
Jeff Teague	62	63	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.25	-10	20	-30	16.5	15.4	1.15	13.9	16.7	-2.79
DeMarre Carroll	56	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.25	-10	20	-30	16.3	16.0	0.24	13.7	16.5	-2.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	40	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.51	17	-27	44	13.0	16.2	-3.19	17.5	15.3	2.21
Roy Hibbert	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-4	-2	14.7	14.8	-0.13	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Lance Stephenson	61	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-9	8	14.8	14.9	-0.11	16.8	15.1	1.70
Paul George	85	83	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-16	22	13.9	23.0	-9.06	16.6	12.3	4.26
David West	79	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-11	12	14.2	18.1	-3.96	16.1	16.6	-0.47
Evan Turner	8	9	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	4	-18	18.2	14.5	3.76	13.7	16.4	-2.78
Ian Mahinmi	31	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	6	-22	16.3	14.1	2.21	16.3	16.1	0.20
Luis Scola	14	14	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	6	-22	20.5	13.8	6.69	14.6	16.5	-1.89
George Hill	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	8	-26	15.8	11.5	4.29	15.5	18.5	-2.97
CJ Watson	55	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-7	4	14.4	15.4	-0.94	16.2	16.2	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 119, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
OKC 116, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHX 122, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%