NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	2.5 [1252]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +9.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	1.3 [503]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (CHA): -4.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	12	61%	0.04	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	13	66%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	18	49%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	7	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	12	37%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.3	15.6	29.5	2.4	24.7	124.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +46.0%

CHA -2.3%

OKC +5.1%

OKC +0.8%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.4	128.9	105.6	104.1
season	14.8	15.6		109.3	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.9	14.7	13.4	20.0	16.1
CHA	15.8	16.6	15.4	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	44	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	7	8	16.2	15.9	0.34	17.4	14.8	2.59
Kevin Martin	37	35	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	13	-4	16.3	15.9	0.46	17.3	15.4	1.92
Nick Collison	22	22	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	5	12	16.3	16.0	0.29	16.2	16.1	0.14
Derek Fisher	26	25	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	8	6	16.7	15.8	0.95	16.4	16.0	0.44
Hasheem Thabeet	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	16	-10	17.4	15.0	2.41	17.5	15.2	2.29
Kevin Durant	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	6	10	15.0	17.3	-2.26	15.0	17.4	-2.39
Kendrick Perkins	45	46	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.27	13	9	4	14.7	17.4	-2.64	15.3	17.0	-1.61
Russell Westbrook	49	47	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	15	-8	16.0	16.1	-0.17	14.9	17.5	-2.56
Thabo Sefolosha	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	14	-6	14.7	17.7	-3.08	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Serge Ibaka	47	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	15	-8	14.6	17.7	-3.10	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Perry Jones	21	19	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	24	-26	19.1	15.1	4.03	16.8	15.9	0.91
Jeremy Lamb	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	20.0	15.4	4.55	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Ronnie Brewer	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	20.0	15.4	4.55	16.0	16.1	-0.14

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	53	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-13	4	15.9	16.4	-0.54	16.5	15.4	1.15
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-15	8	15.9	16.3	-0.32	18.0	14.5	3.59
Byron Mullens	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-14	6	16.8	15.8	1.00	16.8	15.6	1.19
Jeff Adrien	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-15	8	17.9	15.4	2.48	17.2	15.6	1.61
Brendan Haywood	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-16	10	16.8	15.8	0.94	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Jeff Taylor	28	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-20	18	18.6	15.0	3.62	18.1	15.1	2.97
Reggie Williams	32	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-22	22	17.2	15.5	1.76	17.7	15.0	2.76
Josh McRoberts	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-8	-6	14.8	16.8	-2.05	13.5	17.4	-3.92
Gerald Henderson	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.27	-20	-2	-18	15.0	18.6	-3.62	15.1	18.1	-2.97
Ben Gordon	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-10	-2	15.9	16.4	-0.54	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Kemba Walker	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.33	-25	3	-28	15.3	18.0	-2.71	15.2	17.9	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAL 103, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
PHX 100, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%