NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	2.8 [1201]		MVP	Jared Dudley (MIL): +17.8%
Atlanta Hawks	77		Comeback	1.4 [239]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): -14.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.26	0.01	0.09	10	120%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	7	63%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Johnny O'Bryant	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	70%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	10	29%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	85%	0.13	4	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	-0.13	9	15%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	8	19%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	29.5	15.4	27.8	0.7	24.5	121.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.9%

MIL +7.9%

MIL +0.3%

MIL +5.7%

MIL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	15.1	109.2	77.8	104.2
season	14.5	14.9		100.5	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.8	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	11.9	16.3	16.0	14.8
ATL	14.6	13.8	15.0	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	47	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	8	14	15.4	14.2	1.21	15.1	13.9	1.24
Jerryd Bayless	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.34	24	6	18	14.5	15.1	-0.61	14.1	15.0	-0.94
O.J. Mayo	44	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	9	12	13.7	15.6	-1.99	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Zaza Pachulia	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.26	19	11	8	15.1	14.4	0.66	14.6	14.3	0.34
Khris Middleton	34	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.28	18	12	6	15.6	14.3	1.23	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Brandon Knight	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	20	-10	14.2	15.5	-1.30	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Giannis Antetokounmpo	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	18	-6	14.5	15.1	-0.61	14.4	14.6	-0.22
John Henson	38	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	19	-8	14.7	14.8	-0.03	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Kendall Marshall	49	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	22	-14	15.1	14.4	0.73	15.4	13.6	1.81
Johnny O'Bryant	42	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	25	-20	14.9	14.6	0.26	14.5	14.5	0.07
Nate Wolters	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	30	-30	16.1	14.6	1.49	14.0	14.5	-0.53

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	13.3	14.6	-1.36	14.8	14.7	0.07
Shelvin Mack	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-27	24	12.7	15.5	-2.83	16.3	13.9	2.40
Elton Brand	19	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.15	-8	-22	14	15.3	14.3	1.03	11.5	15.4	-3.90
Adreian Payne	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.15	-10	-20	10	16.3	13.9	2.31	16.6	14.1	2.48
Thabo Sefolosha	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	-18	6	16.1	13.7	2.41	16.6	13.8	2.78
Jeff Teague	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-21	12	14.4	14.5	-0.11	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Paul Millsap	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-18	6	14.2	15.0	-0.81	14.7	14.8	-0.03
DeMarre Carroll	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-16	2	15.6	13.4	2.19	14.2	15.2	-0.99
Mike Scott	29	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-18	6	14.4	14.5	-0.15	16.0	14.3	1.69
Al Horford	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	-14	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.88	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Dennis Schroder	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.34	-21	-9	-12	16.0	13.5	2.50	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Kent Bazemore	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.18	-16	-14	-2	13.8	14.8	-1.04	13.4	15.4	-1.96
Kyle Korver	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-15	0	13.2	16.4	-3.21	14.8	14.7	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
LAL 103, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
OKC 116, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%