NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	2.5 [1258]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +12.2%
New Orleans Hornets	88		Comeback	1.5 [805]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): -8.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	15	73%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	12	69%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	57%	0.06	7	-0.09	7	57%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	14	65%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.09	6	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	11	21%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	16	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	34.4	16.4	23.8	1.8	31.2	133.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.7%

NOH -0.9%

LAL +5.7%

NOH -6.2%

LAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.5	112.0	97.8	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		108.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	15.3	17.2	16.2	16.0
NOH	16.0	16.8	17.1	13.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	-5	25	16.6	15.0	1.55	16.5	14.5	2.03
Derek Fisher	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-6	27	15.6	16.6	-1.10	16.6	14.0	2.62
Pau Gasol	65	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	2	11	16.5	14.6	1.88	16.0	15.0	1.05
Shannon Brown	36	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	9	-3	17.9	14.7	3.22	16.0	15.5	0.56
Matt Barnes	39	35	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	10	-5	16.4	15.7	0.70	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Metta World Peace	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	3	9	15.5	16.6	-1.14	16.2	14.9	1.35
Kobe Bryant	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	6	3	14.7	17.9	-3.22	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Andrew Bynum	62	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	18	-21	15.0	17.9	-2.93	14.7	18.2	-3.47
Steve Blake	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	21	-27	16.6	15.6	1.10	14.0	16.6	-2.62
Derrick Caracter	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	15.7	16.0	-0.30	8.5	15.9	-7.35

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Andersen	8	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	13.5	15.9	-2.40	16.3	15.9	0.39
Trevor Ariza	47	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-11	7	15.3	16.1	-0.82	15.6	16.3	-0.65
Jason Smith	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-14	13	14.1	17.0	-2.88	15.1	16.7	-1.63
DJ Mbenga	26	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-7	-1	15.0	16.0	-0.97	16.3	15.8	0.51
Chris Paul	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-8	1	15.7	15.7	-0.04	15.9	16.1	-0.17
Marcus Thornton	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-8	1	13.9	16.8	-2.95	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Jarrett Jack	25	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	15.7	15.7	0.04	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Marco Belinelli	60	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-5	-5	16.4	14.2	2.18	15.7	16.5	-0.82
David West	50	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	0	-15	17.1	14.0	3.09	16.8	15.0	1.75
Emeka Okafor	51	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-7	-1	16.5	14.6	1.85	16.3	15.5	0.86
Quincy Pondexter	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	16.3	15.1	1.22	16.7	15.2	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MIL 107, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 129, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%