NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	2.6 [1246]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +8.5%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	1.4 [375]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -10.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.05	23	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	17	67%	0.16	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	8	69%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	7	53%	0.03	5	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	10	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	7	63%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	14	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	18	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	26.4	14.7	25.2	2.5	29.2	125.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.5%

POR +1.9%

POR +9.8%

CHI -4.6%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.9	15.4	108.8	95.7	104.1
season	15.8	16.6		104.3	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.3	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	18.1	14.6	18.2	16.5
CHI	14.5	16.2	18.1	11.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	72	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-12	34	16.3	17.1	-0.76	15.5	12.1	3.44
JJ Hickson	64	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.00	16	-6	22	16.3	16.7	-0.36	15.5	13.3	2.22
Wesley Matthews	73	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-2	14	16.2	17.6	-1.45	15.3	13.0	2.29
Eric Maynor	44	46	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	18.3	14.7	3.62	13.8	16.0	-2.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	0	10	16.1	17.3	-1.25	15.4	13.5	1.91
Damian Lillard	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-1	12	16.1	17.8	-1.76	15.3	13.3	1.94
Meyers Leonard	49	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	9	-8	17.2	15.5	1.68	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Luke Babbitt	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	14.5	16.5	-2.04	6.7	15.1	-8.48
Joel Freeland	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	14.5	16.5	-2.04	6.7	15.1	-8.48
Will Barton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	14.5	16.5	-2.04	6.7	15.1	-8.48
Nolan Smith	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	14.5	16.5	-2.04	6.7	15.1	-8.48

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Teague	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	6.7	15.1	-8.48	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Nazr Mohammed	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.50	17	-27	44	11.3	16.2	-4.91	18.2	15.8	2.44
Kirk Hinrich	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.24	-14	4	-18	17.4	13.1	4.28	14.9	17.6	-2.76
Taj Gibson	49	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.38	6	-16	22	13.0	17.0	-4.00	17.8	15.0	2.83
Luol Deng	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	4	-18	15.6	14.0	1.68	15.4	17.8	-2.40
Jimmy Butler	54	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-10	10	13.2	17.2	-3.98	17.7	14.8	2.86
Nate Robinson	60	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	13.9	16.6	-2.74	17.9	14.0	3.96
Carlos Boozer	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	9	-28	16.3	12.0	4.26	15.3	19.0	-3.74
Marco Belinelli	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-6	2	15.4	13.1	2.29	16.1	17.7	-1.58
Joakim Noah	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	14	-38	16.8	12.7	4.09	15.8	17.3	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
PHI 97, DET 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
TOR 125, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%