inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Excitement2.9 [1219] MVPPat Connaughton (POR): +8.8%
New York Knicks 91 Comeback1.2 [766] LVPFrank Ntilikina (NYK): -8.3%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Connaughton0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.170.000.08994%0.0900.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01367%0.041-0.00667%-0.00
Damian Lillard0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.090.000.072063%0.073-0.0411100%0.02
CJ McCollum0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.070.00-0.101537%0.032-0.002100%0.01
Ed Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03450%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Evan Turner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.011045%0.0200.002100%0.00
Maurice Harkless0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03433%0.0200.001100%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jake Layman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011243%-0.022-0.04450%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.07961%0.0000.00580%-0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.00850%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Damyean Dotson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02744%-0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04333%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04542%0.013-0.04250%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.011840%-0.0400.00450%-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.020.061654%0.013-0.07989%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.01736%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Frank Ntilikina0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.090.00-0.001127%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.53.423.713.826.42.341.4135.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +30.4%
POR +4.9%
POR +2.9%
POR +8.6%
POR +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORNYKNBAPORNYKNBA
this game15.514.014.7106.292.9107.5
season15.214.9107.8105.9
opponent14.514.3109.3105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.214.314.118.815.5
NYK14.813.914.213.114.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ McCollum79800.370.130.240.31210-816.212.63.6013.814.7-0.88
Damian Lillard79790.350.150.21-0.0614-21614.818.8-3.9713.715.1-1.37
Evan Turner40410.320.180.13-0.031201215.815.30.5214.313.80.46
Ed Davis36370.280.220.060.0484415.215.7-0.4714.113.90.17
Noah Vonleh61610.260.240.020.0966015.315.9-0.5414.712.81.91
Jusuf Nurkic61600.200.30-0.090.14210-815.715.20.4714.113.80.30
Shabazz Napier37390.200.30-0.100.14210-815.415.7-0.3213.714.2-0.43
Maurice Harkless33330.180.32-0.130.21-113-1416.115.30.7813.414.3-0.96
Pat Connaughton52520.170.33-0.17-0.0475215.615.50.1113.814.2-0.33
Jake Layman780.160.34-0.18-0.0784414.615.6-1.0514.913.90.95

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Beasley2929-0.01-0.490.47-0.3411-233412.614.6-1.9617.114.92.27
Joakim Noah87-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-111012.614.1-1.5010.615.9-5.36
Ramon Sessions1716-0.03-0.470.450.15-6-6012.814.2-1.4212.916.1-3.12
Damyean Dotson65-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-5-213.514.0-0.5313.015.7-2.68
Kyle O'Quinn4850-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-5-7214.613.41.2716.015.10.89
Tim Hardaway Jr.7677-0.20-0.300.10-0.376-182414.113.60.4715.814.61.19
Lance Thomas1010-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-3-614.513.90.5619.215.14.07
Jarrett Jack4243-0.22-0.280.050.01-8-4-414.513.60.8314.616.3-1.78
Willy Hernangomez3330-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-6014.513.80.6915.215.7-0.55
Frank Ntilikina3938-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.312-141614.014.0-0.0017.814.13.64
Courtney Lee7474-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-142-1613.814.6-0.8314.917.6-2.65
Kristaps Porzingis6868-0.33-0.17-0.150.08-142-1614.014.00.0014.717.6-2.86
Doug McDermott4038-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-9-3-614.213.80.4216.614.91.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 109, SAC 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
TOR 113, MIN 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
CHI 114, CLE 750.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%