NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	114		Excitement	2.9 [963]		MVP	CJ Watson (CHI): +9.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Comeback	1.1 [819]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): -7.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.04	8	68%	0.10	3	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
John Lucas III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.07	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	70%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.11	8	78%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	62%	0.06	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	10	30%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	64%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	12	27%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	10	18%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	30.9	15.8	25.2	2.5	28.2	127.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.1%

CHI +6.2%

CHI +4.4%

CLE -2.3%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.6	118.8	79.8	102.8
season	16.0	15.5		104.7	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.9		107.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	15.4	12.8	12.1	14.1
CLE	15.4	16.6	17.9	15.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	64	65	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.42	29	10	19	14.1	14.1	0.06	17.1	14.4	2.68
CJ Watson	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	16	7	14.5	13.5	1.05	17.1	14.6	2.49
Joakim Noah	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	20	-1	14.5	13.3	1.20	16.5	15.8	0.69
Carlos Boozer	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.36	24	15	9	14.5	13.3	1.25	16.3	16.2	0.09
Ronnie Brewer	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.50	27	12	15	13.0	15.1	-2.08	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Richard Hamilton	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	24	-9	15.3	12.9	2.37	17.3	15.1	2.21
Taj Gibson	12	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	33	-27	15.3	13.9	1.40	17.9	16.0	1.96
Kyle Korver	33	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.26	13	26	-13	14.1	14.1	-0.02	14.0	17.3	-3.33
John Lucas III	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	32	-25	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.8	16.6	-1.79
Omer Asik	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.40	16	23	-7	12.9	14.6	-1.70	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Mike James	19	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	30	-21	12.1	14.6	-2.56	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Brian Scalabrine	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	34	-29	12.9	14.4	-1.44	14.5	16.7	-2.14
Jimmy Butler	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	37	-35	12.3	14.3	-2.07	13.3	16.6	-3.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-31	23	14.7	16.5	-1.86	11.2	14.7	-3.50
Ryan Hollins	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-35	31	13.3	16.6	-3.28	12.3	14.3	-2.07
Samardo Samuels	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.30	-11	-28	17	17.4	15.9	1.42	11.8	14.6	-2.79
Anthony Parker	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-37	35	15.4	16.8	-1.37	15.5	13.3	2.19
Omri Casspi	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-31	23	16.3	16.2	0.05	15.1	13.4	1.66
Semih Erden	10	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-29	19	20.0	15.8	4.21	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Tristan Thompson	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.51	-25	-14	-11	16.5	16.1	0.43	12.6	15.0	-2.48
Kyrie Irving	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-30	21	15.8	16.6	-0.82	15.0	13.3	1.77
Alonzo Gee	49	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.57	-28	-11	-17	16.4	16.0	0.45	13.3	15.0	-1.77
Anderson Varejao	50	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-29	19	15.5	17.0	-1.53	15.8	12.0	3.73
Antawn Jamison	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-25	11	16.1	16.5	-0.43	15.0	12.6	2.48
Ramon Sessions	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.68	-35	-4	-31	16.6	15.8	0.76	13.3	15.1	-1.76
Daniel Gibson	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.54	-31	-8	-23	17.2	15.1	2.15	13.6	14.7	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 123, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
POR 103, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%