NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	2.6 [1226]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (TOR): +14.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.5 [1068]		LVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): -6.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	6	117%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	62%	0.08	4	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
James Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	72%	0.05	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	3	77%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	8	68%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	20	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	10	90%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.11	15	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	17	63%	0.03	7	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	26.5	15.4	24.6	2.7	31.4	127.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.4%

TOR +0.8%

TOR +3.6%

TOR +2.6%

TOR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.7	14.7	15.1	127.0	111.2	104.2
season	15.6	15.0		109.1	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.6	19.6	16.5	17.3	17.7
MIN	15.1	16.4	13.5	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	55	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-3	20	17.4	18.1	-0.73	14.8	14.4	0.37
Lou Williams	49	48	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.24	25	-11	36	17.0	18.6	-1.64	15.2	14.0	1.23
Patrick Patterson	43	42	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	-6	26	17.1	18.2	-1.12	15.3	14.1	1.22
Greivis Vasquez	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.46	26	-12	38	18.3	16.9	1.40	15.7	13.0	2.74
Terrence Ross	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	5	4	17.9	17.4	0.43	15.1	14.1	0.95
James Johnson	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	12	-10	17.7	17.7	0.02	13.8	15.4	-1.57
DeMar DeRozan	56	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	10	-6	17.4	18.2	-0.77	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Amir Johnson	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	6	2	17.8	17.6	0.23	14.8	14.6	0.22
Greg Stiemsma	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	28	-42	19.7	17.4	2.26	11.1	15.1	-3.95
Landry Fields	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	26	-38	18.6	17.6	0.95	9.7	15.1	-5.37
Bruno Caboclo	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	26	-38	18.6	17.6	0.95	9.7	15.1	-5.37
Jonas Valanciunas	34	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	17	-20	18.1	17.4	0.73	14.4	14.8	-0.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	28	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-12	10	14.0	15.0	-0.92	19.5	16.9	2.60
Justin Hamilton	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-10	6	14.6	14.8	-0.17	17.3	18.5	-1.21
Lorenzo Brown	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	3	-20	15.5	13.9	1.61	16.7	18.7	-1.99
Zach LaVine	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-13	12	14.3	15.6	-1.29	18.5	15.2	3.34
Robbie Hummel	40	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	14.8	14.6	0.20	16.4	18.9	-2.49
Andrew Wiggins	82	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	14.7	14.4	0.25	17.9	16.2	1.64
Chase Budinger	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-10	6	14.2	16.7	-2.51	17.5	18.3	-0.73
Adreian Payne	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.15	-21	7	-28	15.3	13.6	1.74	18.0	17.2	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIA 106, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 109, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%