NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	2.8 [1223]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +8.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	73		Comeback	1.4 [529]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -11.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	67%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	14	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.03	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	8	45%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	16	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	9	56%	-0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	11	23%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	30.5	16.3	23.7	1.0	27.2	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.1%

LAC +4.6%

MEM -8.5%

LAC +9.8%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.4	111.2	81.1	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		109.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.5	13.7	17.7	15.5	16.3
MEM	18.4	19.0	13.6	13.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.20	25	1	24	15.9	16.9	-0.95	15.9	15.9	0.04
Jamal Crawford	49	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	4	18	16.6	15.8	0.83	16.1	15.7	0.45
Matt Barnes	45	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	8	10	16.2	16.3	-0.12	14.9	17.0	-2.06
Grant Hill	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	10	6	14.2	17.7	-3.47	14.3	17.1	-2.76
Eric Bledsoe	50	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	16	-6	17.6	14.5	3.11	16.8	14.9	1.96
Ronny Turiaf	25	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	12	2	13.5	17.3	-3.81	13.5	16.9	-3.41
DeAndre Jordan	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.11	9	17	-8	16.4	16.2	0.19	17.1	15.1	1.97
Caron Butler	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	18	-10	16.4	16.0	0.40	17.3	14.5	2.79
Blake Griffin	42	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	24	-22	18.3	14.5	3.79	16.5	15.3	1.22
Ryan Hollins	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Willie Green	40	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	15.8	16.6	-0.83	15.7	16.1	-0.45

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-25	24	16.4	15.9	0.50	11.0	16.8	-5.78
Tony Wroten	30	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-24	22	12.9	17.4	-4.48	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Wayne Ellington	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-19	12	15.4	16.8	-1.46	17.1	14.8	2.29
Marreese Speights	26	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-18	10	14.3	16.6	-2.22	13.8	17.2	-3.38
Tony Allen	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-16	6	16.2	15.3	0.91	17.8	13.2	4.56
Josh Selby	20	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-13	0	14.6	16.3	-1.70	12.5	17.4	-4.89
Zach Randolph	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.20	-16	-10	-6	16.6	14.3	2.22	16.9	14.5	2.42
Mike Conley	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-14	2	17.5	13.8	3.69	17.3	14.9	2.43
Jerryd Bayless	31	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.28	-22	-4	-18	16.3	15.7	0.51	13.5	17.8	-4.26
Darrell Arthur	44	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-9	-8	15.3	16.5	-1.18	17.0	15.6	1.33
Marc Gasol	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	-4	-18	16.9	14.0	2.93	16.4	16.0	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 132, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
HOU 134, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 108, LAL 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%