NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	134		Excitement	3.1 [1159]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): +11.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.1 [1159]		LVP	Ryan Kelly (LAL): -8.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	14	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Harden	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.17	0.01	0.15	18	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	79%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.03	4	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Terrence Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	11	37%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.07	13	83%	0.13	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	14	61%	0.02	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	75%	0.05	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	13	67%	0.01	4	-0.05	4	50%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	14	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.7	31.2	17.5	25.5	2.7	30.3	134.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +14.5%

LAL -3.4%

HOU +31.3%

HOU +8.2%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.2	15.1	125.2	100.0	105.2
season	14.3	14.0		109.5	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	11.8	13.8	15.1	13.8	13.6
LAL	13.4	13.8	14.9	11.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.40	29	-3	32	13.2	14.1	-0.95	14.7	11.2	3.52
Chandler Parsons	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.39	28	-2	30	13.2	14.1	-0.92	14.7	10.8	3.95
James Harden	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.27	23	3	20	14.3	12.3	1.97	14.3	11.4	2.91
Dwight Howard	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	6	14	13.7	13.4	0.28	15.1	10.9	4.20
Terrence Jones	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	7	12	13.1	13.9	-0.81	15.7	11.6	4.17
Donatas Motiejunas	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	13	0	13.2	13.8	-0.66	11.7	14.4	-2.71
Jeremy Lin	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	22	-18	13.0	14.1	-1.17	11.1	15.2	-4.12
Omer Asik	54	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	20	-14	14.1	13.0	1.19	11.4	15.0	-3.57
Francisco Garcia	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	29	-32	14.1	13.2	0.95	11.2	14.7	-3.52
Omri Casspi	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	13.8	13.5	0.27	11.1	14.0	-2.96
Aaron Brooks	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	13.5	13.6	-0.11	9.2	13.8	-4.55

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-31	36	13.2	13.3	-0.09	14.4	12.2	2.22
Chris Kaman	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-20	14	14.3	12.4	1.89	14.5	12.8	1.73
Jodie Meeks	80	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	-9	-8	12.5	15.2	-2.68	13.3	14.3	-1.08
Jordan Farmar	43	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	-5	-16	14.1	12.6	1.47	12.8	14.1	-1.30
Robert Sacre	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-12	-2	12.1	14.5	-2.31	13.3	13.8	-0.54
Kendall Marshall	94	95	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.12	-17	-9	-8	13.3	12.6	0.68	13.9	11.0	2.88
Jordan Hill	59	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.58	-33	7	-40	13.5	12.9	0.65	12.4	14.9	-2.51
Wesley Johnson	94	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	1	-28	13.3	12.8	0.51	13.6	13.2	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAC 99, MEM 73	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%