NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	111		Excitement	2.9 [1208]		MVP	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): +21.1%
Miami Heat	87		Comeback	2.0 [225]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (MIA): -12.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.15	0.04	9	90%	0.25	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.16
Joe Harris	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.03	9	95%	0.14	3	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	42%	0.00	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.04	0.00	0.15	3	100%	-0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	12	66%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Derrick Walton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	12	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.03
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	34%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	30.3	13.8	28.5	2.4	26.4	125.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +29.7%

BKN +15.5%

BKN +1.8%

BKN +2.9%

BKN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	12.8	15.4	14.7	108.8	85.3	107.5
season	14.7	15.1		105.8	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.1		105.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.8	12.5	9.4	16.0	12.8
MIA	15.0	15.2	17.2	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	42	43	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	4	16	12.0	13.4	-1.32	16.1	14.9	1.22
Caris LeVert	50	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-3	30	12.0	13.6	-1.62	15.3	15.5	-0.27
Joe Harris	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	8	8	12.5	13.3	-0.78	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Jarrett Allen	43	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	7	10	12.3	13.2	-0.86	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.40	21	3	18	12.0	13.5	-1.45	17.0	14.0	2.98
Nik Stauskas	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	23	-22	13.2	12.7	0.53	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	17	-10	13.1	12.4	0.64	15.8	14.9	0.94
DeMarre Carroll	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.40	19	5	14	12.3	13.4	-1.04	16.0	14.7	1.26
Allen Crabbe	55	55	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	19	-14	14.2	11.2	2.95	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Timofey Mozgov	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	31	-38	14.7	12.5	2.24	13.4	15.7	-2.30
Tyler Zeller	45	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	30	-36	13.8	12.0	1.83	15.0	15.7	-0.64

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.11	-3	-21	18	15.7	15.2	0.43	13.4	12.4	0.91
Udonis Haslem	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-27	30	14.6	15.5	-0.90	14.0	12.7	1.30
Matt Williams Jr.	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-33	42	13.2	15.7	-2.59	14.7	12.5	2.19
Josh Richardson	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	-12	0	15.5	15.3	0.27	12.8	12.9	-0.06
Derrick Walton Jr.	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-27	30	14.4	16.6	-2.27	13.5	12.0	1.57
Jordan Mickey	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-25	26	14.6	16.0	-1.44	13.2	12.5	0.66
Kelly Olynyk	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-8	-8	15.2	15.6	-0.45	12.9	12.7	0.15
Goran Dragic	49	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.51	-29	5	-34	16.4	14.5	2.00	12.0	13.5	-1.51
Tyler Johnson	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.42	-29	5	-34	16.2	13.7	2.42	12.2	14.2	-1.99
Wayne Ellington	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.33	-26	2	-28	15.9	14.7	1.27	12.6	13.2	-0.59
Bam Adebayo	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	-3	-18	15.2	15.7	-0.43	12.4	13.4	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 124, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
PHX 118, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DEN 108, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%