inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 108 Excitement2.8 [1200] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +12.8%
Indiana Pacers 87 Comeback1.6 [457] LVPChris Copeland (IND): -6.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.01692%0.1300.001100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.000.041174%0.0800.0010%-0.00
Gary Harris0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.011062%0.071-0.0010%-0.00
JJ Hickson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.00-0.05547%0.0510.00560%-0.02
Wilson Chandler0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.031062%0.0400.001100%0.01
JaVale McGee0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.01370%0.0400.00475%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02955%0.041-0.00250%-0.00
Kenneth Faried0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.05675%0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Alonzo Gee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.060,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.031339%-0.013-0.052100%0.01
Timofey Mozgov-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03717%-0.0600.00425%-0.04

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donald Sloan0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.01-0.02867%0.091-0.032100%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0020%-0.02
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.001145%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damjan Rudez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02744%0.001-0.0020%-0.00
Shayne Whittington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01350%-0.0010.0000%0.00
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.060.000.07967%0.012-0.02367%-0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01941%-0.031-0.00475%-0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031635%-0.021-0.02250%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.010.06469%0.002-0.05520%-0.00
Chris Copeland0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.18-0.01-0.131015%-0.034-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.92.628.815.625.42.429.3132.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.5%
DEN +5.4%
DEN +6.0%
DEN +5.1%
DEN +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game14.716.615.1117.494.6104.2
season14.616.0103.4102.3
opponent15.015.3102.0106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.814.116.615.914.7
IND15.517.117.716.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson59590.470.030.45-0.2324-32714.614.9-0.2716.416.8-0.35
Arron Afflalo43440.350.150.19-0.3624-32715.514.01.4916.916.30.62
JJ Hickson32320.330.170.16-0.02129314.714.8-0.1316.616.50.04
Wilson Chandler50500.270.230.04-0.201651114.814.70.0916.117.1-1.06
Danilo Gallinari42420.230.27-0.040.08516-1114.714.8-0.0917.116.11.06
JaVale McGee32310.220.28-0.070.19120-1913.315.5-2.2416.216.8-0.61
Kenneth Faried43440.180.32-0.13-0.17129315.813.81.9717.016.20.75
Darrell Arthur29290.180.32-0.15-0.06813-512.815.7-2.8915.916.9-1.03
Gary Harris38380.150.35-0.190.18-122-2313.815.4-1.6616.216.8-0.60
Timofey Mozgov38390.090.41-0.31-0.29138516.013.82.1917.016.20.75
Nate Robinson33330.030.47-0.450.11-324-2714.914.60.2716.816.40.35
Alonzo Gee11100.000.50-0.500.06-223-2515.014.70.3016.516.6-0.07
Jusuf Nurkic1090.000.50-0.500.12-425-2916.014.61.4116.316.6-0.26

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luis Scola25260.02-0.520.550.14-4-171316.416.6-0.1715.514.41.11
Shayne Whittington2223-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-252916.116.7-0.5615.914.41.51
Ian Mahinmi4243-0.11-0.390.27-0.296-273316.216.9-0.6515.314.21.14
CJ Miles1010-0.12-0.380.260.05-6-15914.616.8-2.209.015.4-6.44
Chris Copeland4647-0.16-0.340.170.25-14-7-716.816.30.4313.815.8-1.99
A.J. Price4447-0.23-0.270.04-0.261-222316.616.50.0514.914.50.40
Donald Sloan5451-0.27-0.23-0.040.31-20-1-1916.317.0-0.7015.114.30.76
Damjan Rudez5352-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.07-9-12316.516.6-0.1315.413.91.44
Solomon Hill6969-0.38-0.12-0.250.06-15-6-917.015.41.5715.412.82.55
Roy Hibbert5049-0.39-0.11-0.270.40-276-3316.916.20.6514.215.3-1.14
Lavoy Allen4543-0.520.02-0.540.10-210-2116.816.30.5513.715.7-2.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 106, VAN 680.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
NOP 115, DEN 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
IND 111, CLE 900.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%