inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 115 Excitement2.8 [1203] MVPAnthony Davis (NOP): +16.7%
Denver Nuggets 90 Comeback2.1 [235] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -10.0%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0.170,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.180.020.031776%0.203-0.03786%0.01
Tim Frazier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02861%0.041-0.022100%-0.00
E'Twaun Moore0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031346%0.0210.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.011252%0.031-0.0210%-0.01
Jordan Crawford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.021350%0.0120.0000%0.00
Jrue Holiday0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.041254%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cheick Diallo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.02542%0.001-0.012100%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.04650%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.01665%0.0700.005100%0.02
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.001250%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03462%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03550%-0.0200.002100%-0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.06-0.000.101076%-0.023-0.0210%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.01940%-0.031-0.022100%-0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.000.041346%-0.0510.00250%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.021429%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.824.215.428.01.824.2118.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +46.2%
DEN -2.2%
NOP +2.0%
NOP +3.0%
NOP +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDENNBANOPDENNBA
this game14.113.814.8111.787.4107.7
season14.114.4104.1111.6
opponent14.515.0111.2106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP13.412.814.715.614.1
DEN13.317.213.611.513.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Frazier77780.470.030.44-0.142141714.313.50.8013.714.3-0.60
E'Twaun Moore56570.360.140.22-0.4327-22914.913.31.5813.913.80.08
Jordan Crawford52540.340.160.19-0.181871114.513.70.8112.715.1-2.44
Anthony Davis61620.340.160.17-0.252051512.915.9-2.9514.712.42.30
Alexis Ajinca38370.300.200.10-0.292051516.113.03.1614.413.50.82
Dante Cunningham62620.270.230.04-0.291961313.515.1-1.6014.612.62.06
Jrue Holiday58570.170.33-0.17-0.161114-313.215.3-2.1315.012.42.55
Donatas Motiejunas41400.130.37-0.240.16-126-2714.414.00.3812.314.8-2.49
Solomon Hill45440.120.38-0.26-0.09718-1114.414.00.3914.813.11.77
Quinn Cook15140.000.50-0.500.26-934-4314.014.2-0.169.914.4-4.59
Cheick Diallo10100.000.50-0.500.23-833-4113.814.2-0.379.014.3-5.34

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller14150.00-0.500.50-0.269-34439.914.4-4.5914.014.2-0.16
Emmanuel Mudiay17180.00-0.500.50-0.124-293311.014.4-3.3813.814.2-0.37
Darrell Arthur2322-0.01-0.490.470.31-11-14312.614.2-1.6216.313.52.77
Juan Hernangomez3737-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-232111.515.1-3.5715.413.41.94
Nikola Jokic3939-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-191314.813.21.6414.114.2-0.14
Danilo Gallinari5050-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-181115.112.62.5213.814.4-0.58
Jameer Nelson4951-0.16-0.340.190.05-7-181115.112.72.4413.714.5-0.81
Wilson Chandler5153-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-13-12-115.012.72.3313.614.7-1.14
Gary Harris5151-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-15-10-514.513.11.4312.915.3-2.44
Mason Plumlee4342-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-12-112.914.5-1.5414.513.90.57
Jamal Murray5452-0.34-0.16-0.190.18-18-7-1112.715.1-2.4414.513.70.81
Will Barton4544-0.37-0.13-0.250.30-23-2-2113.913.80.1115.013.51.51
Kenneth Faried4241-0.43-0.07-0.350.25-23-2-2115.013.02.0613.414.6-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 106, VAN 680.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
DEN 108, IND 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
CHH 100, TOR 640.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%