NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	3.2 [1168]		MVP	Gerald Green (IND): +12.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	1.6 [1040]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (CLE): -6.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	13	71%	0.12	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	10	48%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Paul George	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	9	61%	0.09	5	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Sam Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.08	16	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	9	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	24.5	15.6	28.2	1.8	26.2	124.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.9%

IND +18.0%

IND +8.9%

IND +2.1%

CLE -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.4	114.4	93.8	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		102.4	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	14.2	13.5	16.8	15.0
CLE	14.7	16.4	14.7	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.23	24	-3	27	14.5	15.6	-1.10	14.9	14.8	0.07
George Hill	46	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	2	17	14.5	15.3	-0.79	15.0	14.8	0.14
Tyler Hansbrough	49	47	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	0	21	14.8	15.1	-0.25	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Lance Stephenson	47	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	2	17	14.8	15.1	-0.29	14.3	15.4	-1.04
Gerald Green	47	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	14	-7	15.6	14.4	1.15	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Paul George	50	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	7	7	14.4	15.6	-1.15	15.0	14.7	0.25
Orlando Johnson	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	16	-11	14.9	15.0	-0.14	16.2	13.9	2.33
Jeff Ayres	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	21	-21	15.1	14.8	0.25	15.2	14.6	0.57
D.J. Augustin	41	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	16	-11	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.5	14.4	1.14
Ian Mahinmi	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	21	-21	15.5	14.7	0.75	15.9	14.5	1.42
Sam Young	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	16.0	14.8	1.16	11.9	15.2	-3.33
Ben Hansbrough	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	16.0	14.8	1.16	11.9	15.2	-3.33
Miles Plumlee	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	16.0	14.8	1.16	11.9	15.2	-3.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	11.9	15.2	-3.33	16.0	14.8	1.16
Kevin Jones	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.4	15.3	-2.89	16.3	14.7	1.55
Daniel Gibson	47	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-21	21	15.2	14.6	0.64	15.4	14.5	0.95
Marreese Speights	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-19	17	16.8	14.5	2.28	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Dion Waiters	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-18	15	14.7	15.0	-0.29	15.3	14.8	0.50
Luke Walton	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-13	5	15.1	14.7	0.38	15.7	14.4	1.29
Shaun Livingston	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-7	-7	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Tristan Thompson	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	-5	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Wayne Ellington	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	-4	-13	14.9	14.8	0.12	14.3	15.6	-1.32
CJ Miles	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-11	1	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.2	14.6	0.59
Alonzo Gee	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	1	-23	15.1	14.7	0.42	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Tyler Zeller	54	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	-3	-15	14.9	14.9	-0.08	14.5	15.6	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 103, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DAL 122, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%